The NFL odds are favoring the Saints by -6 in this game, with a total of 40 points. Should we back this giant preseason spread, or are there other sports picks with these odds that are better suited for us?
The Saints beat the Chiefs in Week 1, and even though it was not without struggle, the Saints walked away with the win and the cover. While the starters looked rusty in their first drive, the Saints second drive ended in a field goal, which was all Sean Payton needed to see before pulling his starters.
The Raiders also won their game against the Cowboys, however were faced with much less resistance from a Dallas team playing on short rest. The Raiders only took the lead when their 3rd string players came into the game in the second half. Even though Flynn and the Raiders looked ok, they are still huge underdogs this week on the road in New Orleans.
Dennis Allen will likely play his starters longer in this game, but will it be enough to take down the Saints? Instead of worrying about such things, I have decided to lay off the spread, and go with a play on the total, which I see as a much safer bet.
Defense? What defense?
Besides the fact that the ‘Over’ was the play of Week 1, going 11-5, I think this total is a bit too low for these two teams. On top of their offenses likely getting more of a run in this game, these two teams had and probably still have two of the worst defenses in the NFL, something that might come to the forefront in this game.
The Saints gave up two quick scores in the first quarter last week, for the most part with their first string defense in the game. The Raiders played better defense, but were still giving up big chunks of yards to the Cowboys.
Now that the first string offenses and defenses will likely be getting more run in this game, I see a higher scoring affair in the dome. Oakland’s offense is kind of underrated this offseason, while the Saints’ high powered unit will likely carve up the Raiders’ 1st 2nd and 3rd string defenses.
The Sharp Pick
The ‘Over’ is normally a nice bet to take in the first couple weeks of the preseason, and that trend continued last week for our NFL picks. Both coaches will likely still play this game with a side of caution, but they are both trying to attain some specific goals in the preseason. Especially for the Saints -who have a Super Bowl in mind this season- their offense is what will get them there. The first string didn’t look great in New Orleans’ first preseason game. I could see Payton putting some points on the board this week against a much weaker defense in the Raiders. Even though it is kind of high, because the Saints are favored by so much indicates to me that the books think they will be able to put a lot of points on the board this week. I am going with a play on the 'Over' the total. It seems to me that both coaches will be focused on their passing games.
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