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NFL betting odds for this game opened much higher, but as of Monday morning they sit at -14.5 in favor of Denver, with a total of 49. Let’s take a brief look at the opening odds in this game, and try and speculate where they will go between now and a week from now.
The NFL odds on this game opened at -16 in favor of the Broncos, but was quickly bet down to where it sits today. This could be a very interesting game to track line movement for. Because it is the final game of Week 3, it will be getting plenty of attention by Sunday night and Monday morning. We could see this line spike or drop down some more throughout the week as well, but the true value of this line might not emerge until later in the week.
The Broncos dominated the Manning Bowl in Week 2, and improved to 2-0 SU. We knew their schedule was easy going into the season, but I don’t think anyone thought we could see domination like they have done in the first two regular season weeks. With the way things are going, it’s going to be tough to come up with a loss for Denver this season outside of their trips to maybe Kansas City, and definitely at New England in Weeks 11 and 12.
Manning has led the Broncos to 90 points scored in two weeks, and if he has another 4-5 touchdown performance, he is going to put Tom Brady’s touchdown record in serious jeopardy this season. He is already on pace for 72 touchdowns, and even though it may just be a hot start to the season, this is Manning we are talking about. All he would have to do is pass for 3 touchdowns per game for the rest of the season to break the 50-mark set by Brady in 2007.
Raiders clinging on
This week it will all come down to the Raiders and their offense against the Broncos’ defense. We already know the Broncos are going to put up 30 or more points in this game. With how bad the Oakland defense is, and how good Manning and the Broncos offense is, I could expect no other outcome.
However the battle between the Raiders on offense and the Broncos’ defense should be the one to watch, and it will determine if the Raiders are a good sports pick here to cover. Terrelle Pryor and Darren McFadden both had excellent games rushing the football last week, as the two accounted for 179 of the Raiders’ 229 rushing yards in their win against the Jags.
Denver currently leads the league in rushing yards against, but that is more on their opponents and the fact that both games have been blowouts. I don’t think Denver’s rushing defense is #1 good, but they are definitely good to say the least. The Raiders will have to have a career day from McFadden and Pryor if they want to cover this game, because the best defense the Raiders can come up with in this game is to keep Denver’s offense off the field. The only way to do that is run the football.
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