NFL Picks: Preseason Betting Angle Favors Patriots +2 Over Saints

Ross Benjamin

Friday, August 21, 2015 8:00 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 21, 2015 8:00 PM UTC

Our NFL handicapping professional examines Saturday’s preseason game between the Patriots and Saints. Which one of these teams will bounce back from a loss in their preseason opener? Read this informative betting preview article which concludes with a point spread selection.

Patriots Invade New Orleans on Saturday
The Patriots and Saints will meet on Saturday in what will be the second preseason game for both teams. The opening kickoff is slated for 7:30 PM ET at the Louisiana Superdome in New Orleans. According to the current NFL odds at BetCRIS, New Orleans is a 2-point favorite, and the posted total is 43.


Head Coaches
Bill Belichik is in his sixteenth year as head coach of the New England Patriots. Belichik has a preseason record of 32-29 straight up and 29-27-5 ATS with New England. He began his NFL head coaching career with the Cleveland Browns in 1991. He remained in that position for five years, and had a preseason record of 11-9 SU & ATS in his time with the Browns organization.

Sean Payton began his NFL head coaching career with New Orleans in 2006 and has been there ever since. However, there’s an asterisk associated with his current tenure. He served a one year suspension in 2012 as a result of the bounty-gate scandal that involved then defensive coordinator Greg Williams. His career preseason record excluding 2012 is 20-14 straight up and 22-12-2 ATS.


Preseason Skinny on Both Teams
The Patriots are coming off a 22-11 loss as a 2.0 point home favorite against Green Bay. The Patriots have gone 5-0 over the total in the last five years during their second preseason game. Those contests averaged a combined 52.0 points scored per game.

New Orleans was a 30-27 loser in their preseason opener at Baltimore, and failed to cover as a 1.5 point road underdog. The New Orleans Saints are 6-1 over the total during the past seven years in game 2 of preseason action. Those eight contests averaged a combined 46.4 points scored per game. New Orleans has also gone 5-1 over the total in their previous six preseason home games.


NFL Preseason Point Spread Betting Angle
Any preseason away underdog of 2.5 or less (Patriots), coming off a home favorite straight up loss in which they scored 16 points or less, resulted in that away underdog going 18-4 ATS (81.8%) since 1987, and that also includes a perfect 9-0 SU&ATS if they’re playing in its second game. I’m going to have a slight lean on the road team for one of my NFL picks on Saturday.

NFL Picks: Play New England +2 at bet365

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