NFL Picks: Power Rankings To Start the Season

Doug Upstone

Thursday, September 10, 2015 12:51 AM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 10, 2015 12:51 AM UTC

Last year we introduced the Power Rankings and we received a lot of positive feedback from readers like you, who are assembling NFL picks while breaking down the betting odds.

These rankings are intended to not only measure the strength of each team, but also to provide a point spread like the NFL odds from sportsbooks and be useful like those a football handicapper might use in seeking an edge for NFL picks at places like WagerWeb.

You can play along by adding three points to the home team to make a spread on the game and compare versus what the oddsmakers are showing. Anything with a three or more differential might be worth consideration for a play.


  Opener       Opener
NFC East       AFC East  
Dallas 99     Buffalo 94
N.Y. Giants 95     Miami 96
Philadelphia 99     New England 100
Washington 93     N.Y. Jets 92
NFC North       AFC North  
ChIcago 93     Baltimore 97
Detroit 96     Cincinnati 95
Green Bay 100     Cleveland 93
Minnesota 97     Pittsburgh 96
NFC South       AFC South  
Atlanta 95     Houston 94
Carolina 95     Indianapolis 99
New Orleans 96     Jacksonville 92
Tampa Bay 92     Tennessee 92
NFC West       AFC West  
Arizona 94     Denver 97
San Francisco 92     Kansas City 96
Seattle 100     Oakland 92
St. Louis 93     San Diego 95


Thursday - New England -7 over Pittsburgh
This is where the game opened before Tom Brady was temporarily suspended and once he came back it went to the same place. Almost 60 percent of bets are on the Patriots. (as of Wednesday evening)


Green Bay -4 over Chicago
Lower than what the oddsmakers have because the Green Bay Packers are 19-5 and 18-6 ATS at Soldier Field since 1992.


Houston -1 over Kansas City
Spot on number, which points to Kansas City actually thought of as the stronger team by linemakers. The Chiefs 6-3 ATS as road underdogs over the last two years. Just sayin'!


N.Y. Jets -2 over Cleveland
Number within a point of actual odds, yet, despite little movement on this AFC affair, three quarters of wagers on the Flyboys.


Indianapolis -2 over Buffalo
Basically just a half point different and a little surprised the Indianapolis Colts are not higher with the dramatic difference at quarterback.


Miami Pick vs. Washington
We have this low, not quite as sold on Miami to begin the season, who is up to -3.5. Over 90 percent of the action is on the Dolphins.


Carolina Pick vs. Jacksonville
Not suggesting the Panthers at -3 is a bad number, but just keep in mind that Carolina was 3-7-1 SU before winning the last four games to take the NFC South last year.


Seattle -4 over St. Louis
Another figure right on the button. Tough call with Seattle 1-4 ATS recently in St. Louis; however, the Rams are starting two rookie O-Linemen against that Seahawks' front seven.


Arizona -1 over New Orleans
Both offensive lines have looked shaky in the preseason, making this a harder call. Just over 55 percent are backing Arizona at -2.5.


San Diego -2 over Detroit
The San Diego Chargers have been solid three since early August and most wise guys see the quarterbacks determining the outcome, with the teams close talent-wise.


Tampa Bay -3 over Tennessee
Battle of top rookie quarterbacks and Tampa Bay getting the call at this price because they are home. Just over 60 percent backing the Bucs.


Cincinnati Pick vs. Oakland
Cannot disagree, the Bengals at -3 looks accurate, with the play of Andy Dalton the wild card. A touch over 60 percent riding Cincy.


Denver -3 over Baltimore
After opening at -4, most wagering outlets have Denver at -5 and a 3-to-1 choice by sports bettors. The favorite is 7-2 ATS in this matchup.


Dallas -7 over N.Y. Giants
About what you would expect, but you have to take into consideration that the Dallas Cowboys are 6-20 ATS as home faves under coach Garrett.


Monday - Philadelphia -1 over Atlanta
The original release and ours was a match, but many gamblers are high on the Philadelphia this season. This is the 12th straight time the Eagles have been favored over Atlanta.


Monday - Minnesota -2 over San Francisco
A year ago this spread was inconceivable, but that is how quickly things change in the NFL. Almost 70 percent prefer the Minnesota Vikings.

comment here