NFL Picks: Play Falcons to Soar at Tennessee & Cover ATS Odds

David Lawrence

Thursday, October 22, 2015 8:39 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 22, 2015 8:39 PM UTC

The Atlanta Falcons were unbeaten, but after a loss, they’re facing a fresh round of questions. The Tennessee Titans have never been the same. Read our article to get our free NFL pick. 

The Falcons were unbeaten and enjoying life at the top of the NFC, and when they played the New Orleans Saints last Thursday, they ran into a very bad team, one which is largely unrecognizable in comparison to recent Saints teams which made the playoffs. Drew Brees is still in New Orleans, but just about everything else about the Saints has collapsed. The team just doesn’t function well on either side of the ball, lacking the line play and the football IQ needed to be successful in the National Football League. The Falcons, however, played a true stinker of a game, committing multiple turnovers in New Orleans territory and, at one point, having their center snap the ball off the inside of his leg for one very cheap giveaway. Does this mean the Falcons are grossly overrated, or that they played one really bad game on a Thursday, coming off very short rest? Games played on Thursdays are generally not very good precisely because players have no real time in between Sunday and Thursday. This is the point of uncertainty about the Falcons.

The Titans, though, are in freefall. Marcus Mariota is injured, but he’s also gone straight downhill after the Titans blew a big lead to the Indianapolis Colts in September. The team has not responded well to that game at all, and now Tennessee is trying to arrest a full-on slide to the bottom of the standings. This team has to play with desperation, even though the midpoint of the season isn’t yet here.


Line Moves
The Falcons started as 3.5-point favorites on the NFL odds and have remained that way in early betting. No one wants to embrace either team after both Atlanta and Tennessee played so horribly the past weekend in bad losses to New Orleans and Miami, respectively.


Notable Injuries
The Falcons have guard Jon Asamoah listed on injured reserve. Wide receiver Devin Hester is also on the injured reserve list. Tackle Lamar Holmes is on the physically unable to perform list with a foot injury. Guard Mike Person is listed as probable for this game with an ankle injury. Star wide receiver Julio Jones is probable with a hamstring injury. Linebacker Justin Durant is questionable with a foot injury.

For the Titans, the main injury news is that quarterback Marcus Mariota is questionable with a knee injury. Linebacker Avery Williamson is questionable with a hamstring injury. Linebacker Deiontrez Mount is out for the season with a knee injury. Defensive tackle Sammie Hill is questionable with an illness. Running back David Cobb is on injured reserve. So is defensive back Brandon Harris. Linebacker Zaviar Gooden is out indefinitely with a hamstring injury.


Handicapping The Game
The fact that Tennessee is in such disrepair gives the Falcons a chance to bounce back. Atlanta has far fewer weaknesses than Tennessee and should win comfortably. Take them with your NFL picks.

NFL Pick: Falcons -3 at Bovada

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