NFL Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, July 30, 2015 5:30 PM GMT

Thursday, Jul. 30, 2015 5:30 PM GMT

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the Pittsburgh Steelers.

 


The 2015 NFL season is all set to begin Thursday night, September 10th, and in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks, we are presenting daily team profiles in advance of that Kickoff Weekend. Today we are profiling the Pittsburgh Steelers, who finished 11-5 in 2014 and in first place in the AFC North but lost in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs to Baltimore.

But first things first, here is a summary of the Pittsburgh betting statistics over the past five seasons. Please take note that all of these stats are for regular season games only.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  23-16-1    17-23      40-39-1  
ATS Favorite  18-15  10-14  28-29
ATS Underdog  5-1-1  7-9  12-10-1
Avg. Margin  +7.7  +0.8  +4.3 
Over – Under  16-24  20-20  36-44
Avg. Total Score    41.5  42.6  42.0

 

The Steelers have had a definite home field advantage with a 59.0 percent success rate ATS in Pittsburgh as opposed to going just 42.5 percent ATS on the road, not to mention almost a full touchdown difference in the AMOV home vs. away. Now the Steelers have been a good ‘under’ team over the last five years at 55.0 percent, but keep in mind they have changed their culture a bit and become a more offensive team the last couple of years.
Key Trend: Pittsburgh is 9-21, 30.0 percent ATS on the road after being favored in their previous game.

Now we move on to the Steelers’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Pittsburgh Steelers Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank  
Points  26.6   7th  23.4  21st
Rushing  107.1  16th  96.8  6th
Yds. Per Rush    4.1  17th  4.2  17th
Passing  301.8   1st  253.1  25th
Yds Per Pass  7.8  3rd  7.5  29th
Total Yards  408.9  2nd  349.9  17th
Yds. Per Play  6.3  1st  6.2  28th

 

These were certainly not your father’s (or older brother’s) Steelers in 2014 as a team long renowned for its defense led the NFL in both passing and in yard per play offensively while struggling defensively most of the year. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger even had a 500-yard passing game for the second time in his career, but the defense never did get things together, especially vs. the pass.

Up next, we take a peek at various Pittsburgh Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Futures

    5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +2750  +2490  +2200  +2650
AFC Conf. Odds  +1050  +1104  +1200  +950
AFC North Odds    +215  +190   +190  +225
Win Total  8½ ov-130    8½ ov-123  8½ ov-135    8½ ov-125  

 

The Steelers should again have one of the top offenses in the NFL, but the sportsbooks are not bullish on them setting the 8½ win-total on a team that won 10 games in 2014 and setting the defending AFC North Champions as the second choice behind the Ravens to repeat as division champs, no doubt dismayed by the suspect defense.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers Key Additions
The Steelers did not add many veterans besides running back DeAngelo Williams, who will start the first two games while filling in for the suspended Le’Veon Bell, who will return in Week 3. They also added three defensive players in the draft in rush linebacker Alvin Dupree and cornerbacks Senquez Golson and Doran Grant, all of whom may get extensive playing time right way. While that bodes well for the future, the defense should have growing pains in 2015.

Pittsburgh Steelers Key Losses
Pittsburgh lost wide receiver Lance Moore on offense, who was buried on the depth chart anyway, and they lost a bunch of veterans on defense including lineman Brett Keisel, cornerback Ike Taylor and safety Troy Polamalu, essentially forcing the defense to get younger this year.

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