Pittsburgh Steelers divisional future odds update
The Steelers had to watch in agony as their archrivals the Ravens went all the way to win the Super Bowl, after being tied in the future odds with them almost the entire 2012 season.
The Steelers are +190 co-favorites to win the AFC North this season, tied with both the Ravens and Bengals for that distinction. A year after going 8-8 SU and having an injury plagued and disappointing season, will the Steelers have any sort of value this season in the future odds, or for that matter against the spread?
Pittsburgh was incredibly overvalued last season, as they finished the 2012 season at 6-9-1 or even 6-10 ATS depending on the book you are referring to. The Steelers were overvalued in almost every instance last season, if only a little bit in some. However there were some key instances where the Steelers lost money on a consistent basis last season.
To start, they were only 3-5 ATS on the road in 2012, and only 1-3 ATS as road favorites. Now that Pittsburgh lost veterans like Mike Wallace and James Harrison, I am not convinced that they have what it takes to knock off the Ravens or the Bengals for that matter. They will likely be relying on a rookie running back in Le’Veon Bell unless Jonathon Dwyer can rebound and play like he did on occasion last season, and even though their defense was one of the better defenses on paper last season, they still have some issues on that end of the football as well.
On top of being overvalued on the road last season, the Steelers were religiously overvalued ATS as favorites. The Steelers were 4-7 ATS as favorites last season, and if that wasn’t enough, when playing members of their own conference, the teams they have to beat to get back to a Super Bowl, they were 5-7 SU and 4-7-1 ATS when playing teams from the AFC.
I do think the Steelers will rebound from their 8-8 SU season in 2012, but I don’t think it will be ATS. When it comes to their future odds this offseason, they aren’t as overvalued as the Ravens are at the same price, but they also don’t seem to have as much value as the Bengals, who are also priced at +190.
I’m selling the Steelers this season once again, as I did last season. They have similar is not the same exaggerated problems as they did a season ago, and they probably wont have enough consistency this season ATS, even if they do improve from their awful 6-10 ATS record from 2012. The Steelers were 2-4-1 ATS in 2012 following a SU win, and that does not bode confidence in my eyes. Between the lack of depth and the tough division, I can not recommend the Steelers in ATS plays this season, nor in the offseason NFL future odds. I’m going to look for better value elsewhere in the NFL Odds for my sports picks.