For the Sunday Night Football showdown we have a good matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles & Carolina Panthers. Carolina has been outstanding this year and comes into this game undefeated.
Odds makers have Carolina favored by field goal at home. This makes sense as they should be favored in this spot, but I like Philadelphia to come in and play a very good football game. For one of my NFL football picks today I like the Eagles plus the points because of their defense in this spot. You can still get regular odds at taking the +3 like at Bookmaker sports book -110.
Philadelphia comes in averaging 24 points per game, 353.8 yards per game, and a third-down 29.87% conversion rate. Their conversion rate is one of the worst in the NFL but they are still one of the better offenses. They lean a lot on Sam Bradford so far this season throwing the ball almost 60% of the time which is average for the NFL. Although they have been less than stellar on the offensive end, they have done enough to get a couple wins in a row and possibly start rolling. It is probably taken some time for Chip Kelly to get exactly what he wanted out of this offense, but they come in very balanced and should be able to move the ball tonight.
Defensively Philadelphia is allowing 18.3 points per game, 354.8 yards per game, and a third-down 40.45% conversion rate. They rank seventh in the NFL in points per game and are one of the best rushing defenses in the league. I think they matchup well with the good running offense of Carolina as they rank third in the league in yards per rush at 3.5 per attempt and ninth allowing 94.2 rushing yards per game. Their passing defense is less than stellar, but it is a good matchup for them tonight facing a Carolina offense that doesn't put up a lot of yards in that respect.
Carolina averages 27 points per game, 334 yards per game, and a third-down 38.10% conversion rate. For being undefeated they rank as one of the worst teams in the NFL in yards per game. What they do well though is what they stick with as they rush for 132.8 yards per game which ranks third in the league. This will be an interesting matchup tonight between a team in Carolina that runs the ball more than any other team in the NFL versus a Philadelphia team that is strong against the run. Whoever wins this battle will probably win the game, but overall I like the Eagles to limit Carolina's yards on the ground.
Defensively Carolina allows 18.8 points per game, 338 yards per game, and a third-down 36.99% conversion rate. They have been overall a very solid unit ranking in the top 10 in most important defensive categories. Still, I like for Philadelphia to get the Panthers on the heels a little bit with their up-tempo style and ability to run and pass the ball.
I can understand why the Panthers are favored in this spot, but I think Philadelphia has a legitimate chance of winning this game. For one of your NFL picks I recommend backing the Eagles plus the points in what should be a war of attrition.
NFL Picks: Eagles +3 (-110) at Bovada