NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles Season Wins Total Future Odds

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, June 20, 2013 2:48 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 20, 2013 2:48 PM GMT

Will the Eagles turn it around after a 4-12 SU record last season, or will they fall well below .500 under a first-year head coach with no prior NFL coaching experience?

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The Eagles are under new management this season, and with Chip Kelly coming in to run the show, there has been a lot of talk in and around Philly that he may not be the right hire. Obviously, those people are going to have to eat their words if the Eagles come out and have any resemblance to a bounce-back season; but odds show that it might be tough. LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas has the Eagles handicapped to 7 wins this season, with the ‘Over’ and ‘Under’ priced the same at -110. 

Looking for more info on NFC East team season wins? Read our division report!

Schedule

I’ll leave the arguing about Kelly, his offense, and how he has never coached in the NFL to other people who have actually played the game. The Eagles may have the 20th ranked strength of schedule in the NFL, but their season is going to be a lot tougher than what it looks like on paper. We are going to get an early look at how good the Eagles really are this season, because the first 11 Weeks of their schedule are absolutely brutal. In those first eleven weeks, not only do they have to play the Giants and Redskins twice, but their out-of-division schedule is awful as well.

They do get San Diego and Kansas City at home in Weeks 2 and 3, but both of those are definitely not going to be easy. KC has improved a lot and of course it will be Andy Reid coming back to Philly in that Week 3 game. I certainly could see the Eagles getting smashed that week. Plus, even if they are lucky enough to be 1-2 SU or even 2-1 after Week 3, their next three weeks are all on the road, against the Broncos, Giants and Bucs. Those games are almost surely three losses for the Eagles. In fact, looking at their opponents during the first 11 weeks, the only easy team are the Raiders. But that game is in Oakland, and those long flights in the NFL can really mess things up. Needless to say, I am not too bullish on the Eagles this season for my NFL picks.

How does Philadelphia rank against the rest of the NFC East this season?

Week 1

If Philadelphia can get lucky and Robert Griffin III isn’t quite ready to play in Week 1, I could see Washington losing and/or not covering at home against the Eagles in Week 1. However, NFL odds for this Monday Night game are favoring the 'Skins at -4.5, with a total of 50.5. Obviously the sportsbooks seem to think this will be a higher scoring affair. Only two games in Week 1 have higher totals as we sit here in the middle-end of June.

Right now, because of all the uncertainty with the Skins, the Eagles taking over three points seems pretty good here. Even if the Skins are fully healthy, Philly will have the element of surprise, because all the Skins will have to go with on defense is some game tape from Oregon. Philly is still a very talented team on both sides of the ball, and I think everyone is remembering the 3-12-1 ATS season the Eagles had last year. It might just give them some value this season when expectations are much lower than they were a season ago.

The Sharp Pick

However, even though I‘m leaning towards the Eagles to cover the spread in Week 1, I am going with the ‘Under’ in their season wins totals. Even if things go as good as they could possibly go for the Eagles in those first 11 weeks, they are still probably a 4-7 SU football team going into their bye. Six of those first eleven games are also on the road.

My Pick: ‘Under’ 7 -110

Week 1 Lean: Eagles +4.5 at Bet365

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