Philadelphia Eagles divisional future odds update
fter being morbidly overvalued last season in the NFL Odds, can we expect a turnaround ATS for Philadelphia?
At LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas, the Eagles are +500 underdogs to win the NFC East this season, just a year after going 4-12 SU and 3-12-1 ATS. I think we can write them off before we even get going for a few reasons. Firstly, the division they play in is now joke. The NFC East is going to be very difficult to handicap this season in general, and at only 5/1, the Eagles are valued pretty correctly here from LVH. The odds aren’t good enough to take a flier bet in a wide-open division, and the Eagles are very unproven under the new direction.
I think they can surely improve from their season a year ago, but I can’t see more than an 8-8 ATS season from the Eagles. This time last season the Eagles were the flavor of the month. However they ended up as the worst team in the NFL ATS, and the biggest underdog at this point (The Redskins at +850) went on to win the division in the end. Even though there is a possibility of that happening again, at +500, I would rather put down a Super Bowl or conference futures bet instead.
Since there probably won’t be too much value for the Eagles ATS, we have to look other places, and I think the total is where we will find our value with Philadelphia this season. Even during a season where they were drastically overvalued ATS, they still scored points and went 9-7 cashing the over in 2012. Now going into this season and with little to no hype, their totals could be a little low, prompting for over bets to cash again for the Eagles in 2013.
Kelly’s offense has been debated over the last few months ever since his hire, but I am one of the believers. He has the talent in Michael Vick, LeSean McCoy and others on offense, and on top of their offense still having some major potential, their defense will likely not be that great.
The Eagles ranked well against the pass last season but that was with Nnamdi Asomugha as their strong side cornerback. They were bad against the run in 2012, giving up over 126 yards per game on the ground. While they have made an effort to stop the run in 2013 with the signing of NT Issac Sopoaga, I still think they will lack the bodies needed to stop the rushing attacks of teams like the Redskins and others.
The Eagles will give up and score points in bunches in 2013, and I think the over will once again be profitable with the Eagles for our NFL Picks. The one thing that was money for Eagles bettors in 2012 was the over when they played at home, as the Eagles were 7-1 cashing the over at home, the one thing they were better at than any other NFL team last season.