NFL Picks: Panthers vs. Buccaneers

Joe Freda

Wednesday, November 27, 2013 3:10 PM GMT

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have cashed four straight tickets at NFL betting windows. Sunday’s league slate has Greg Schiano’s resurging squad visiting the Carolina Panthers, who enter with their own 6-1 ATS run.

Bucs, Glennon edge Lions


Buccaneers quarterback Mike Glennon threw for 247 yards against Detroit, finding wide out Tiquan Underwood for a pair of touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s Timothy Wright logged a season-high eight catches from the tight end slot, while the back-and-forth affair saw its lead change seven times.

The Bucs’ defense notched four interceptions, while mates Adrian Clayborn and Dekoda Watson recorded one sack each. Linebacker Lavonte David notched a team-high nine tackles, with his crew allowing touchdowns in all three of the Lions’ red zone trips.

Tampa Bay was flagged for nine penalties (67 yards), while its offense was held to 10 first downs in 27 minutes of possession. Anyone who backed the UNDER with their NFL picks held on to collect, with the contest’s 45 points ducking below the ‘total’ of 48 ½.

NFL Picks: Week 13 Betting Odds Report

Panthers, Newton survive in Miami

Carolina picked up a seventh straight victory on the same afternoon, notching a 20-16 win over the Miami Dolphins. Panthers quarterback Cam Newton tossed a late scoring strike to tight end Greg Olsen, capping off a stretch of 17 unanswered points.

Newton connected 19-of-38 passes, while adding 51 rushing yards on eight carries. Carolina’s Steve Smith equaled his season-high of 69 receiving yards, while the team’s offensive line gave up just two sacks.

The battle’s combined 36 points dipped beneath the ‘total’ of 40 that sportsbooks had listed, moving the UNDER to a 4-0 mark in Carolina’s last month of action. Panthers cornerback Josh Thomas snagged his first interception of the year, while he and his mates fell a ‘hook’ shy of cashing as a 4 ½-point road favorite.

Back the UNDER on Sunday

Bet365 opened Carolina as eight-point home ‘chalk,’ while first setting the ‘total’ at 41 ½. Tampa Bay’s Darrelle Revis (2 INTs, 2 FFs) is listed as “questionable” after leaving last week’s duel with a groin injury.

I am adding the UNDER in this spot to Sunday’s sports picks, looking for a tight battle between these NFC South Division rivals.

Carolina has seen its scoring drop to 18 PPG in its last three contests, while coming in with the league’s third best defense in yards allowed (297.5 YPG). The NFL odds have the Panthers hitting the UNDER at a 4-1 clip in the Panthers’ five home dates, with visiting foes held to a sparse 11.4 PPG.

Tampa Bay will have a slower track in Charlotte to work with than last week’s dome at Ford Field, while Glennon and Co. were held to 13 points in last month’s home affair with the Panthers. The Buccaneers have seen the UNDER cash at 4-1 in their last five matchups against foes with winning records, while the same wager went 2-1 in the team’s final three road games last year.

Look for the UNDER to get the money again here, adding to its 9-4 mark in the last 13 meetings between these foes that Carolina has hosted.

Pick: UNDER 41 ½ at Bet365

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