It’s Thursday, and I am back at it once again with more team and player prop picks for the tonight’s game between the Panthers and Bucs. Let's take a closer look at the Betting Lines for some awesome Prop Picks.
Despite being divisional rivals, the Panthers come in as -5 ½ road favorites in the NFL Odds. However if you aren’t sold on either side of the spread or total, take a look at some of these prop picks from Bet365. I think all three have a ton of value to add to your Week 8 NFL Picks.
Player Performance props
After Doug Martin tore his labrum in Week 7, young Mike James took over the running back duties for the Bucs. Although he showed some promise, the young James carried the ball 17 times for only 57 yards, which is only 3.4 yards per carry. That was against the Falcons who have a good run defense. However now he has to play the Panthers, who have a great run defense.
This week from Bet365, James has a rushing yards total of 55 ½, and I really like the under here. The Panthers will likely be playing with a lead in this one, which should affect the number of carries James receives. Also, even though he is the starter, he should still come out on most third downs, and if they are playing from behind, it’s over for James. I just don’t think he will get the carries needed to top 55 yards rushing against Carolina.
My Pick: Mike James ‘Under’ 55 ½ rushing yards (-115)
Another player I have my eye on tonight is James’ counterpart, DeAngelo Williams. Williams has been the main ball carrier for the Panthers this season, but the 30-year old Williams appears to be wearing down right before our eyes. Since the Panthers’ Week 4 bye, Williams has rushed for only 143 yards in three games on 44 carries. That is only an average of 3.25 yards per carry.
Tonight, even if the Panthers are playing with the lead, I can’t see Williams getting above his rushing yards total of 65 ½. The Bucs still have one of the stronger run defenses in the NFL, and if Williams couldn’t get it done against St. Louis and Minnesota, (Carolina’s last two games, and two of the NFL’s worst run defenses this season) he isn’t going to do it on the road against the Bucs. I think Carolina will be forced to throw in this one due to the Bucs ground defense, and Williams will not reach 66 yards rushing for the 4th straight week.
My Pick: DeAngelo Williams ‘Under’ 65 ½ rushing yards (-105)
A week after cashing a huge prop win with Mike Tolbert to score a touchdown, I am back at it again with Tolbert. Last week Tolbert cashed at +225 to score a TD (his 2nd in many weeks) and now he has only dropped to +220 to score on the Bucs. Obviously I just got done talking about how good the Bucs’ run defense is, however if the Panthers get it down inside the redzone, you can bet that Tolbert will get the looks. He is one of, if not, the best redzone option for the Panthers outside of maybe Cam Newton.
If there is another pass interference call on the Bucs that set up the Panthers, Tolbert will get the first crack at getting into the end zone. Even though Newton may be a better goal line option, Carolina will probably want to protect their QB, so expect plenty of goal line handoffs to the bowling ball that is, Tolbert.
My Pick: Mike Tolbert TD Scored (+220)