NFL Picks: Panthers SU is Your Best Week 7 Bet on Sunday Night

Kevin Stott

Thursday, October 22, 2015 3:20 PM GMT

The Carolina Panthers & Philadelphia Eagles meet in primetime Sunday night in Charlotte for this Week 7 game between two teams currently on pace to make the NFL Postseason. Lets make some NFL Picks.

Odds Overview Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers
North Carolina is the site of this Week 7 game between the host Carolina Panthers (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) and the Philadelphia Eagles (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) in this NFC inter-divisional Sunday Night Football Week 7 showdown. Currently (Wednesday morning), the Panthers range from 3- (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) to 3½-point favorites (Pinnacle)—most of the big-name sportsbooks are showing a 3 right now—and the scare 2½’s in the NFL odds marketplace on Monday are now long gone. The Total in this game set at 46½ (Pinnacle), while on the Money Line, host Carolina is priced at -162 with visiting Philadelphia priced at +135 on the takeback (Paddy Power). The Carolina Panthers Team Total Points for this game is 24½ (Bet365, 120) while the Philadelphia Eagles Team Total Points has been set at 20½ (Bet365, -120). The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Carolina up as 1½-point favorites in this one in their NFL Games of the Year while the Advanced Line here (SuperBook) had the host Panthers as 2½-point favorites.

 

Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles (144 PF-110 PA) and third-year Head Coach Chip Kelly (20-19 ATS) needed a Win in Week 6 against the Giants in Philadelphia and they got it (27-7) to improve to 3-3—levelling with the G-Men—and gaining the inside track to winning the laughable NFC East which still has no teams over the .500 mark—the opposite of the AFC North at one point last Regular Season. The Eagles (25/1 to win Super Bowl, 10Red) Defense played pretty good against New York, but it’s hard to tell whether it was good play by Philadelphia, poor play by Eli Manning and the Giants or a combination of both. Anyone who saw the game cannot comment on this as they have all had to enter local Decontamination Centers to rid themselves of the Funk. Philadelphia QB Sam Bradford and the Offense looked decent too and with RB DeMarco Murray, invaluable veteran RB Darren Sproles, WR Jordan Matthews, TE Zach Ertz, WR Riley Cooper, WR Ryan Mathews, WR Miles Austin and TE Brent Celek, this Kelly-themed Oregon NFL team has a number of guys to get the football to and Bradford’s arm and accuracy were on display in the in vs. the Giants at Lincoln Financial Field on Monday night. On the Injury front, DE Brandon Bair (Groin), LB Mychal Kendricks (Hamstring), LB DeMeco Ryans (Hamstring) and and Rookie (USC) WR Nelson Agholor (Leg) are all listed as Questionable for this game, LB Kiko Alonso (Knee) is Out Indefinitely while five players on the Eagles (11-12 ATS on the Road on Sunday nights) are still on he Injured-Reserve List including K Cody Parkey (Groin) and DB JaCorey Shepherd (Knee).

 

Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers (135 PF-94 PA) and NFC champion Seattle Seahawks engaged in one of their strangely frequent Snake and Mongoose battles in the Emerald City last Sunday afternoon and this time it was the Mongoose—the Panthers—who came out on top (27-24) as Carolina QB Cam Newton (18-16-1 ATS at Home) made Soup out of a Stones and helped lead the Panthers to a huge win in a place few go in and win, CenturyLink Field. The Panthers (4-4 ATS at Home on Sunday nights) played their usual solid balanced game and the Defense and LB Luke Kuechly (14 tackles) helped this team stay unbeaten, gain some more valuable Confidence and Momentum and stay on track for shot at possible Home Advantage in the NFC (Green Bay is 6-0). Ron Rivera (40-31-1 ATS) and Carolina (20/1 to win Super Bowl, Ladbrokes) have some Injury concerns with WR Kelvin Benjamin’s (Knee, Injured-Reserve) absence being the biggest obstacle but the Panthers main WR has been out all Regular Season so this team knows how to squeeze what it can out of the Offense through TE Greg Olsen and RB James Stewart and the other underrated WRs on the Roster. On the Injury front, Daryl Williams (Knee), LB AJ Klein (Concussion), LB Jared Allen (Back), LB Shaq Thompson (Knee) and TE Richie Brockel (Shoulder) are all listed as Questionable for the Panthers while three different DEs for Carolina—Frank Alexander (Achilles, Out for Season), Arthur Miley (Knee, Injured-Reserve) and Charles Johnson (Hamstring, Injured Reserve)—have been unavailable. But this is a team that somehow always finds a way to win. And like the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC, the big question for the Panthers will be can they win in the NFL Postseason. And with talent filling in the WR spot for the injured Benjamin like Corey Brown, Ted Ginn Jr., Jerricho Cotchery and Rookie (Michigan) Devin Funchess, this maybe the year Carolina catches and tops the Packers or the defending champion Seattle Seahawks in the NFC. Time will tell.

 

Series Trends & Realistic Game Expectations
Teams coming off games playing the Seattle Seahawks haven’t fared too well this season, but it’s a good thing for Carolina that the Eagles will come in here with just 5 Days of Rest (TWTFS). The last time these two NFC semi-giants played, the Panthers were smashed by the Eagles, 45-21, in Philadelphia as 7½-point favorites last season while the last time the Eagles visited Charlotte, Philadelphia again trounced Carolina, 38-10 as 2½-point favorites in Week 1 back in 2009. So 24- and 28-point Wins. The Eagles and young RB Murray are a nice 4-1 ATS the L5 vs. Panthers but the Panthers are 8-2 ATS their L10 in October. As far as the Total and Trends here., the Over is 8-2 ATS in the L10 Panthers games in October while the Under is 5-2-1 ATS the L8 Home games in Carolina. A complete in-depth analysis of the Total in this game can be found by clicking this Link. This game should be good TV and Gridiron Theater as this Panthers team tries to earn the Respect from Fans and other Teams in the NFL it deserved about five years ago. Carolina almost always play as a team, tries to minimize mistakes and TOs and seldom has the kind of lapses we saw on Monday Night Football between the Eagles and Giants. The Weather Forecast (The Weather Channel) for Sunday night calls for Partly Clear Skies, a game-time temperature of 54°F, Winds NNW at 4 mph and 90% Relative Humidity so maybe a little chilly for North Carolina but it will be night-time so this is normal football conditions. This should be close throughout with the Eagles fighting to get over .500, but with the Home Bank of america crowd (knowing it’s on primetime TV), the unbeaten record and the confidence gained from beating the NFC champs in their own crib, Carolina should find a way to win this game—maybe the hard way—and laying the 3 points seems just a little bit too tight, so playing the host Panthers on the Money Line at the lowest price in the market for a small to moderate amount seems the best advice in the NFC showdown. These two could very well meet again later in the NFC Playoffs.

 

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Panthers 27 - Eagles 24

NFL WEEK 7 PICK: Carolina Panthers -164 (Pinnacle)