NFL Picks: Packers vs. Chiefs in Preseason Week 4

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, August 27, 2013 4:18 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 27, 2013 4:18 PM UTC

One of the final preseason games of 2013 features the Green Bay Packers heading into Kansas City to play the Chiefs. Who will play to win in this Week 4 matchup?

The NFL odds for this contest favor the Chiefs by -3, with a total of 36.5. Without the starters on both sides of the ball getting any playing time, whom should we back with our NFL picks in this very tough game?

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Week 3 

The Packers fell to the Seahawks in Week 3 of the preseason, 17-10. A main reason for that was because Aaron Rodgers barely played during the game. Rodgers was 4/5 while in the game during his one series, and then the reins were handed over to the backups. A battle was brewing for the job behind Rodgers, and newly signed Vince Young took over going 6/7 with 41 yards and a touchdown while in the game. Graham Harrell did not play well going 6/13 with only 49 yards, and Young has taken charge of the back up duties.

Now that Young is in the backup role, it will be interesting to see how much playing time he gets in this game. He is a veteran obviously, and playing behind Rodgers is a comfy job, but he still needs to be integrated into the offense. If he does play in this game, I think we can expect more than a little bit of work for him, which should help the Packers.

The Chiefs on the other hand got a nice overtime win against the Steelers in Week 3, and no matter who was in the game at quarterback for KC, their offense ran smoothly. Alex Smith will likely not play in this upcoming game, but his backup Chase Daniel will, and if he plays like he did against the Steelers, the Chiefs can and should win this game. Daniel finished the game 14/24 with 152 yards passing and a touchdown.

QBs and coaches

While both sides are very well equipped in the backup QB role, both coaches haven’t shown much of their offensive hands so far this preseason, and if that holds true in Week 4, I think we could be in for a very low scoring game. Green Bay is 3-0 this preseason cashing the ‘Under’, while the Chiefs cashed the ‘Over’ for the first time this preseason in Week 3, and is now 2-1 in favor of the under heading into Week 4.

I sincerely doubt we see too much of each coaches’ play book on Thursday. This game will be used for evaluating the 25 or 30 guys who are on the risk of being cut, so special teams and defense will be where coaches are looking at the most, not the already solid offenses. With most of the offensive playbook under wraps, a lower scoring game is what we should find with this game.


The Sharp Pick

I think the ‘Under’ is the sports picks for this game. I wouldn’t be surprised if one of these teams didn’t get out of single digits by the end. The Packers are averaging about 6 points per game this preseason, while the Chiefs shot their average up to around 17 points per game after Week 3. What makes you think there will be an outburst of scoring in this Week 4 game? Take the ‘Under’ and don’t look back.

NFL Pick: Bet the UNDER 36.5 points in the Packers/Chiefs game at William Hill

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