NFL Picks On Receiving Yards Season Prop

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, July 12, 2016 12:53 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 12, 2016 12:53 PM UTC

Bet365 has released NFL Odds for different player’s season long yards total. Today we start with the receivers, where there are some nice values on the board. 

DeAndre Hopkins O/U 1410.5 receiving yards
Last season DeAndre Hopkins had 1521 receiving yards with four different quarterbacks throwing him passes. Now he has Brock Osweiler at his disposal, and if that turns out to be an upgrade over the revolving door at quarterback he had last season, Hopkins may be undervalued a bit at Bet365. Although the Texans now have Cecil Shorts who will take some looks way from Hopkins, it will also relinquish some of the pressure Hopkins was faced with last season.

Now at more than 1000 yards less than what he put up last season, I am thinking that the over might be the play. Osweiler didn’t impress much in his time as the starting quarterback for Denver last season, but he does have a good arm, so all those deep balls that were underthrown to Hopkins last season won’t be as bad this year with Osweiler. All in all, Hopkins might be back up to 1500 yards this season.

Antonio Brown O/U 1710.5 receiving yards
The Steelers’ Antonio Brown went for 1834 yards last season through the air, and that was with Martavis Bryant taking on 765 yards as well through the air. Now the Steelers won’t have Bryant for the year as he is faced with suspension, which means that Brown is once again going to be super busy this season.

However, what is good about Bryant being out is Le’Veon Bell is coming back this season. That is going to easily help Brown get some one-on-one coverage on occasion, and I think 2000 yards is not out of the question for him this season. Ben Roethlisberger is going to have to stay healthy all season, which might be trouble for the aging veteran, but if these two get to play 16 games with one another, Brown might reclaim the thrown from Julio Jones as the league’s leading receiver. This could be a great NFL Pick to capitalize on these future odds.

Julio Jones O/U 1750.5 receiving yards
Speaking of the league’s leading receiver from last season, Jones is faced with a couple of problems this season that he wasn’t a year ago. Roddy White never got the ball last season, and Jones was putting up 100-yard games with great regularity. However, the Atlanta Falcons were in desperate need of a number two receiver, and they gave way too much money to Mohamed Sanu.

Sanu has never had more than 790 yards in a season, and while Matt Ryan is easily going to be an upgrade over Andy Dalton, Sanu couldn’t even get the ball in the Bengals offense last season, when he played in all 16 games and only caught 33 of his 50 targets for just under 400 yards. There is no way that’s worth five years and $32.5 million. He does only have $14 million guaranteed, but still Sanu might get targets like the money he was paid this season, and if that takes away from Jones, then this is an under play for me. The Falcons will continue to feed the ball to Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman, so with that in mind, Jones might fall below his 204 targets from last season.


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