NFL Picks: Oakland Raiders NFL Futures Betting

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, May 7, 2013 7:44 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 7, 2013 7:44 PM UTC

Will the Raiders be better than what sportsbooks are projecting, or will the only thing they win this season be the number one pick in 2014?


Books with the best prices on 2013-14 NFL Futures

The Raiders head into this season again in rebuilding mode, and even though they come in as one of the biggest underdogs in the NFL future odds, there still might be some sports betting value with this team when the preseason comes around. 

Super Bowl (+12,500) 

That’s 125/1 for you all who can’t do math, and that’s the second worst odds of any team to win the Super Bowl only to the Jaguars at 150/1. Head coach Dennis Allen is working hard to remake this team, and they have been doing a solid job of trying to beef up their defense, but in the end this team’s win over/under will likely be about 4 ½ this season. I do see some value in this team, but it definitely isn’t betting them in the future NFL odds. Like I said in my article about the Jaguars NFL future odds, you’re better off lighting your money on fire or just throwing it in a trash compacter.

AFC (+5000) 

The Raiders are getting a little more love in the AFC future odds, but they will still be bad. This is a team that is overvalued most of the time anyway, so seeing them where they are looks pretty good to me, price-wise. If the Raiders do start to vastly improve this season I will probably eat what I’m about to say next; the Raiders will most likely be overvalued when the season comes around, even though they look pretty bad on paper and in the NFL future odds. 

My Take 

However through it all, I have come up with some value in the Raiders this season, but it will likely be a pregame bet. The Raiders are working very hard to make their defense better, and it looks as if they are doing so. A majority of both their draft picks and free agent signings have been on the defensive end of the football, and even though I don’t think Richard Seymour will be coming back, this defense is still going to be much improved from their below average defense last season. 

On top of that, right now the top quarterback in their depth chart is Terrelle Pryor. Obviously they got Matt Flynn from Seattle, but I think there will be some open competition for this starting job this offseason. Plus both of them have almost no starting experience, so don’t think that this is going to come out smelling like roses in Week 1 against the Colts. 

There is a reason why the Raiders are so far down the pole when it comes to the future odds, but bets on the under might be the way to go with this team. They will likely have plenty of defense to help out their almost certainly below average offense. On the road in Indianapolis in Week 1, some books have the total at 49 points and I think that is a great chance to add the UNDER to our NFL picks. See, I did find value in the Raiders!
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