Friday Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
After a crazy start to Week 9 of the NFL season, the rest of the games should be just as entertaining coming up this week. Let’s take one final look at the NFL Odds, and see where the value is this week.
A rematch of playoff series past happens this week in Foxborough, as the Patriots host the Steelers. The NFL Odds for this one favor the home Patriots at -6 ½ here, and while I do think the Pats have the value, I don’t think I could touch this game. The Pats are playing very inconsistently right now, and they have been on the verge of getting beat every week it seems. After getting beat by the Jets, the Patriots got the win last week against the Dolphins to improve to 6-2 SU. However this week against the Steelers, I could easily see the Pittsburgh defense giving Tom Brady troubles here.
An AFC South divisional battle finalizes the Sunday schedule of football this week, as the Colts head down into Texas to play the Texans. The NFL Odds have the Colts s slight -1 road favorites here, and with Case Keenum starting for the Texans, I can’t tell if this line is a huge trap, or holding a ton of value. The Colts will of course be without their best WR for the rest of the season, and this is the first look we are going to get at them without him. Could Keenum and the Texans upset the Colts here, or will Indianapolis roll over the disappointing Texans? I think there may be some value in the Colts here. If it is ever going to happen for Trent Richardson in Indy, now is the time. I expect him and the rest of the Colts’ offense to continue to roll this week.
Thursday Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
It’s Thursday, which means the NFL week is about to kick off. Let’s take one final look at the Thursday NFL Odds, as well as some of the Sunday lines and see if any notable movement has taken place.
Bengals vs. Dolphins
The Dolphins come into this one as +3 home underdogs for our NFL picks, and for good reason. The Bengals torched the Jets this past week and got to rest their starters for most of the 2nd half. Marvin Jones dominated with four of Andy Dalton’s five touchdowns, and now heading down to Miami on a short week, the Bengals look like they have some value. The Dolphins have been underachieving all season and with their lack of presence on the defensive end, the Bengals’ offense should thrive against a tired Dolphins defense. Plus, the Dolphins have given up over 30 sacks this season, and against the Bengals, that number isn’t going to improve. I can definitely say there is value here, and it’s still here even after the line moved from a pick em to -3, Bengals.
Chiefs vs. Bills
While this line hasn’t moved very much this week, it is interesting that the Chiefs are only -3 road favorites in the NFL odds this week in Buffalo. The Bills defense is very good, and they have a shot at holding down the Kansas City offense, however with the Buffalo QB situation in flux right now, it’s hard for me to believe that there is value with the home team. Thad Lewis is reportedly going to start this game, but he has, and still is dealing with several injuries, including a rib injury and on top of that, flu-like symptoms. Does this sound like a situation you want to take points with against the only undefeated team in the NFL? The answer is no, so unless you really like the Chiefs here, I would lay off this game entirely.
Wednesday Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 9 will start tomorrow night, but before we take one last look at the Thursday game, let’s take another look at some of the Sunday NFL odds that are still shaping up the Week 9 board. There are several intriguing matchups, but let’s take today and look at some of the bigger spreads out on odds boards for Week 9 of the NFL.
Vikings vs. Cowboys
Dallas comes into this week as a -10 favorite against the Vikings, and after Christian Ponder played ok on Sunday night against the Packers, it remains to be seen if Minnesota will give Ponder another shot against Dallas, or will they go back to Josh Freeman? Freeman was out because of a concussion and even though neither QB has looked very good in their time as Vikings’ QB, we might not know the starter until later in the week. If it’s Freeman, I think the spread will go up due to his performance two weeks ago, and if it’s Ponder, look for the spread to stay close to the -10 it’s sitting at on Wednesday.
Bucs vs. Seahawks
Seattle gets to welcome in the Bucs this week, and if this game isn’t decided by halftime, I’ll be surprised. Even though I doubt they would do it in the middle of the season, this is one of those games that the Bucs could get blown out of, and Greg Schiano gets fired afterwards. Tampa traveling across country has them as double-digit underdogs in the NFL Odds, and they are anywhere from +18 to +15 ½ underdogs in Seattle this week. With a rookie starting running back and quarterback, I expect the Hawks to dominate from the open. The only issue will be a back door cover if Seattle’s starters get pulled early in the 2nd half.
Tuesday Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
It’s Week 9 and we are over halfway through the NFL season. The NFL odds for this week are shaping up to have some good potential value, and there are a ton of games that have spreads at -3 or lower. Let’s take a brief look at some of those lower spreads, and see if there is early week valuefor our sports picks. Both of these happen to be home underdogs as well.
Ravens vs. Browns
This should be a very interesting game, as the struggling Ravens head into Cleveland to play the struggling Browns. The NFL odds for this AFC North battle are far from settling, but right now you can get anywhere from -1 to -3 in favor of the road Ravens. Cleveland looked a little better with Jason Campbell under center last week, and I think we can expect him to be back for another go. He tossed two touchdowns against a good Chiefs defense, and with how Brandon Weeden was playing, I think he could have thrown some picks too and he still would have got the start this week. The Browns seem to have value if Campbell can come to play at home.
Colts vs. Texans
Right now the NFL odds for this Sunday matchup are very close. The Colts are anywhere from a -1 to a -2 ½ road favorite, and in this instance, I doubt the home team has much value. The Texans will be starting Case Keenum in this game, even though Matt Schaub is reportedly healthy. Keenum didn’t play bad or good in the Texans’ Week 7 game against the Chiefs, but if he can play well here at home against the Colts, I bet he takes the starting job for the rest of the season. However I think the Colts may be slightly undervalued here as -1 favorites on the road. Indianapolis is also coming off their bye.
Week 9 Opening Odds Report
By: Jordan Sharp
We have eclipsed the halfway point this season in the NFL, and the NFL odds for Week 9 are starting to shape up. It will be another week with plenty of byes, so we have a limited amount of games to take a look at this week. However, even with only 13 games at our disposal this week, there seems to be some value shaping up for our NFL picks.
Bengals vs. Dolphins
This week on Thursday, the Bengals head into Miami to play the Dolphins on the short week. The NFL odds for this one have opened in favor of the road Bengals at -1 ½, with a total of 42 points. The Bengals are coming off of a huge blowout win against the Jets, while the Dolphins head back home after almost coming up with a big win in New England. Even though they have played better at home, the Dolphins are going to have trouble with the Bengals on both offense and defense in this one. After opening at a pick em, the line has been moving steadily, and I see it increasing more and more after the Bengals’ big win in Week 8. If you like Cincinnati, place your sports picks now.
Falcons vs. Panthers
Before the season started, we would have looked at this game as one of the better matchups of the week, however the Falcons are in a lot of trouble this season, and come into this week anywhere from +7 ½ to +9 ½ road underdogs against their divisional rival, the Panthers. Cam Newton and the Panthers get to play Atlanta on a long week after playing on Thursday of Week 8, and even though I doubt this line will settle any time soon, my first instinct is to believe that this line has to come down before week’s end. The Falcons are still able to go on the road and play well, and if Steven Jackson comes back to play better this game, Atlanta has a great shot at covering the higher spreads for this week.
Saints vs. Jets
Another home underdog this week is the Jets, who after their huge 40-point loss to the Bengals, get to come back home. However it won’t be an easy homecoming, as they welcome in the Saints. New Orleans beat up on the Bills this past week at home, and now the NFL odds have them as -5 road favorites against the Jets. I think we could easily see a bounce back game from the Jets, but we could also see another blowout by the high powered Saints. This one is too close to call, and I would recommend laying off.
Chargers vs. Redskins
The Chargers had the week off in Week 8, and now they are rested and ready to travel across the country into Washington. The NFL odds for this one are at a dead even pick em, with a total of 51 points. Robert Griffin III looked awful in Denver this past week, and even though he gets to go back home, playing the Chargers is not going to be a walk in the park. This may be one of those games where it appears to have value, but it really doesn’t. I think both the spread and total are pretty sharp, and I would lay off until we have some line movement one way or another. You never know what you’re going to get from either of these teams.