Friday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
NFL Week 6 Odds update
It’s Friday and practices for the week are winding up. It’s time to take one final look at the NFL Odds for Week 6 of the season, and there are a couple of games still settling down.
Packers vs. Ravens
This is one of the least talked about games of Week 6 when it comes to how relevant it is. Both were looking like solid postseason contenders, but the Packers started 2-2 SU, while the Ravens are 3-2 SU. While it may not be one of the prettier games, it should be a great game for both teams to gauge where they are at this season. The NFL odds are still not settled for this game as of Friday afternoon. The spread is anywhere from -1 to -3, but it appears that most books have the line at -2 ½ in favor of the road Packers. I see this spread settling a little lower than the -3.
Eagles vs. Bucs
Another home underdog in the NFL Odds this weekend is Mike Glennon and the Tampa Bay Bucs. They are anywhere from +1 to +3 underdogs this week as the Eagles come flying in. It looks as if Nick Foles will start this game for the Eagles, but Michael Vick did practice on Friday, and crazier things have happened. It surprises me that they aren’t definitely holding out the fragile and visibly banged up Vick, but any wager on this game needs a to be made soon after we know who is starting under center for Philadelphia. The inactive list comes out for the early games about 90 minutes before kickoff, and this game is a much watch for that area.
Thursday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 6 is here and it’s time to take one last look at the Thursday night NFL betting lines, as well as another game or two that has seen some interesting movement this week. Has this opened any new door for our NFL picks this week?
My hunch yesterday that this spread would move to the higher side was wrong, as the spread for this one seems to be settling down to a touchdown in favor of the Bears. After opening at -9 and even -9 ½ in favor of the Bears, the NFL odds have been moving down steadily since yesterday, and now almost every book has the number at -7. Chicago could have some nice value here as touchdown favorites, but my best bet for them tonight is to include them into a teaser, and move them to -1 or even pick em favorites. This game could be ugly for both sides.
Wednesday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 6 is here and there are several intriguing spreads and totals that are starting to move. The NFL Odds are ripe for the taking this week, so let’s take a brief look at a couple of games that are worth a look with our NFL picks.
Lions vs. Browns
After NFL odds opened them up as -3 road favorites, the Lions are heading southward, and are now only -1 ½ favorites on the road in Cleveland. I’m not so sure they should be favored at all, and that’s why in my Mixing up your NFL Picks article, I have one side of my parlay this week on the Browns’ money line. At home this week, the Browns’ defense should put a hurting on the Lions. Speaking of hurting, Calvin Johnson did not play this past week, and even if he does suit up this week, he will be faced by Joe Haden Island, which is a tough island to get off of. I think the Browns have a shot at beating the Lions here, even with Brandon Weeden as their quarterback. As long as he doesn’t turn the ball over, the Browns’ defense should do the rest.
Cardinals vs. 49ers
The Niners come into this game as -11 ½ favorites, but the total is only 41 points. That would mean the Cards would have to be held to under double figures in scoring. However I still think they might be able to cover this one. The Niners’ defense is still really banged up, and the Cards’ defense is one of the most undervalued in the entire NFL. If the Cardinals can hold the 49ers to under 20 points in this one, I see a nice cover for Arizona. The Niners have been very overvalued at home this season, and I think it’s happening again. These divisional matchups should in no way be double digit spreads.[gameodds]16/226957/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]
Tueesday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 6 is here and the opening game between the Bears and Giants will be here before you know it. The NFL Odds for the early games are starting to move, and it seems as if there are sides of value opening up, and closing very quickly. Let’s take a brief look at just a few games I have highlighted here on Tuesday morning.
After opening as -3 ½ road favorites just 36 hours ago, the spread for this matchup has already dropped to -3, and some sportsbooks are starting to hit -2 ½ Packers. Strangely, two out of every three wagers on this game so far have come in on the Packers. When SBR's NFL Consensus Betting Report comes out later in the week, I’ll make sure and highlight this game again, because it is starting out to look like there is value opening up with the Packers. If more of the NFL odds move down to -2 ½ that might be the ideal time to strike.
I don’t think the Ravens are that much better than the Lions, and even though they were without their best player on Sunday, the Packers are still a good team on both sides of the ball. They will miss Clay Matthews, and he may be one of the reasons this spread has shrunken, but I think they could still beat Baltimore on the road.
[gameodds]16/226946/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]sportsbooks, the Jets beat down the Falcons on the road, and now the spread has quickly dropped to a pick em. The Jets were impressive on defense last night, and with the shaky offensive line of the Steelers coming in, it might be feeding time for the likes of Muhammad Wilkerson, Calvin Pace and the rest of that defense. If the Steelers give Big Ben time enough to get the ball down the field, this will be a good game, but if not, the Jets might come up with another big win, this time at home. I’m currently leaning towards the slight home underdogs with my NFL picks in this one.
Monday's Week 6 NFL Odds Report
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 5 has come to a close and now with Week 6 coming into focus, the NFL odds are starting to come out across the globe.
The Giants’ schedule gets no easier this week. After getting beaten by the Eagles at home in Week 5, the Giants head into Chicago on a short week. The Bears have now lost two games in a row after losing to the Saints this past week, and the odds have Chicago opened up as a -9.5 favorite against the Giants this Thursday. These two teams will likely only hold a brief practice today, and no crucial players will see the field. There are some sportsbooks that have the number down to -7.5 as well, and I would suspect the number finds itself closer to seven than nine once kickoff happens.
Bengals vs. Bills
With the news that rookie, EJ Manuel will be out for the next several weeks with a sprained knee, the Bills have chosen to sign Thaddeus Lewis off of the practice squad and make him their starter this week against the Bengals. Cincinnati is coming off of a huge win against the Patriots at home, and it would seem as if Cincy could eat this team for lunch. The NFL betting odds favor the road Bengals anywhere from -7 to -9, and with several books still with no line, I think we can expect to see this one have some serious movement. However I don’t care if Brett Favre comes out of retirement and starts for the Bills this week, I don’t think I can lay nine points with Andy Dalton on the road anytime, or anywhere.
The only reason I’m including this is because you are witnessing history as I’m writing it. The NFL odds have the Broncos as -27.5 favorites this week against the visiting Jaguars, which would make this the biggest spread in NFL history. According to RJ Bell, the previous record was 26 points, and that was back in 1976. This is 37 years of history! If Peyton Manning and the Broncos’ first stringers are not out of the game by the 6:00 mark in the 3rd quarter, I will be thoroughly surprised. However the question is, after that happens, will the Jags be able to come back and get a backdoor cover? I don’t know, but I think a 2nd half bet on the Jags could be valuable this week, for your sports picks.
This game has lost a bit of its luster, but it could mark the return of Rob Gronkowski for the Pats, which would help them a lot. With the pace Jimmy Graham is on, it would be nice to make this a two TE race. The NFL Odds have the Pats as slight favorites in this game, with a total of only 49.5. For the first time in a long time, both of these teams have pretty solid defenses too, which makes the game even more intriguing. The Pats’ offense looked atrocious last week against the Bengals, and the Saints have been rolling, and still are undefeated. If Gronk doesn’t end up playing, I think once again the Saints may be the bet here as slight underdogs.
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