NFL Picks: NFL Week 5 Betting Odds Report

Jordan Sharp

Monday, September 30, 2013 3:37 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 30, 2013 3:37 PM UTC

With Week 5's betting lines now posted, let's dive straight in and search for any early betting value for our NFL picks. Join us as we continue our look into NFL odds for Week 5 of the NFL regular season


4th OCT
Friday's Week 5 NFL Odds Report

By: Jordan Sharp


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It’s Friday and the Week 5 NFL odds have been flying all around the board this week. There are several games that have spreads with several points of movement, so let’s take one final look at the NFL Odds before the weekend.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Indianapolis Colts

After opening as -3 road favorites, the Hawks have been dropping all week, and as of Friday morning, this spread is far from settling. Sportsbooks around the world have this spread in between -1 and -3 in favor of the road Seahawks, and I am not sure when this line will be settling. I can bet that the public will be heavy on Seattle this weekend, which could move the line back up towards a field goal. While I think the Colts could have some value at the right price, it’s not at +1. Sportsbooks like Bovada and The Greek still have the spread with the Colts as three point underdogs, and that may not be a bad money line value if you like Indy here.


Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans

This is another spread that has caught my eye this week. The Titans will have to start Ryan Fitzpatrick in this game due to Jake Locker’s injury, and after the NFL betting odds opened with the Chiefs as -2.5 favorites, the news of Locker’s injury has done nothing to this spread. While it still has not settled yet, the average spread for most sportsbooks is still -2.5 in favor of the road Chiefs. I guess the difference between Locker and Fitzpatrick starting is not as great as I initially thought. However, I do think there may be some real sports betting value emerging with the Chiefs here. At sportsbooks like Pinnacle, the spread is -1 in favor of KC, but priced in at -130. Either way, I think -2.5 could be nice as well.


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3rd OCT
Thursday's Week 5 NFL Odds Report

By: Jordan Sharp


We are fast approaching Week 5 of the NFL season, and there are several good matchups. Let’s take one of our final looks at the Week 5 NFL odds, and see if there is any value here on a Thursday.

Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys

This spread opened in favor of the Broncos at -7, and even though most sportsbooks have the spread still at -7, there are books that are slowly moving the line up. I have seen -7.5 and even -8.5 spreads in favor of the road Broncos here. Denver could come in and give the Cowboys a 20-point blowout victory or this game could be very close. While I feel as though Denver -7 may be the sports pick to play, if the spread goes up throughout the last few days of the week, Dallas may have value.


New York Jets vs. Atlanta Falcons

The Monday night game might be closer than some think, but the Jets’ offensive concerns are big right now. Both of their starting wide receivers are out for this game, and despite the bad defense of the Falcons, the Jets may not have enough to keep up with a Falcons team that could easily put up 30 points in this game. The NFL betting odds have been moving all around throughout the week. After opening at -9 in favor of Atlanta, the spread has moved up to -10 and even -10.5 in some instances. However some books are holding true at -9. While I think the Jets could have value here, it’s going to be really tough to beat the Falcons on the road with just a defense.



2nd OCT
Wednesday's Week 5 NFL Odds Report

By: Jordan Sharp


Week 5 will be here in about 24 hours and the NFL odds for some of these games are starting to move with some sharp action on them. Let’s take a look at the numbers that have shifted the most over the last 72 hours, and see if more or less value is opening up this week.

Carolina Panthers vs. Arizona Cardinals

While it may not be the flashiest game of Week 5, the Panthers and Cardinals may be a game where you can find some sneaky sports betting value. Always risky are teams traveling across the country, but apparently that hasn’t stopped NFL bettors from piling onto the Panthers and Cam Newton. After opening as a 'Pick`em', the Panthers have gone to -1, and even -2 road favorites in this one. I guess the thinking is that coming off a bye week, the Panthers will be rested and fully prepared for the Cardinals this week. While that remains to be seen, I think the value on the Panthers is close to, if not gone already.


Jacksonville Jaguars vs. St. Louis Rams

Speaking of undesirable games, the Jags and Rams hook up from St. Louis this week, and after opening up as a -14 favorite, the Rams have wisely been bet down to -11 already. Two touchdowns is way too much for a team that isn’t much better than their visitors this week, and while the Jags opened up at BetOnline at +25 next week against the Broncos, there is no way they should be +14 underdogs to the Rams in the football betting odds. I don’t care how bad they are, this is still the NFL. The Jags get Justin Blackmon back this week, Maurice Jones-Drew should have a bounce back game against St. Louis’ soft run defense, and the Jags could very well cover this game.



1st OCT
Tuesday's Week 5 NFL Odds Report

By: Jordan Sharp


The NFL Odds for Week 5 are all out and ready for action, but here on a Tuesday, is it time to strike on some of these, or wait until later in the week? Let’s take a look at some of the games I have not yet covered in my NFL Odds report.

New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears

Coming off of a nice Monday night win over the Dolphins, the Saints head out on the road to play the Bears. The NFL Odds for this one are very close to even, and here on Tuesday, a handful of sportsbooks have the Bears as slight -1 favorites, while others have it as an even wager at -110 for both sides. The Saints are on short rest, and playing in Chicago is no joke, but the Bears are going to have a hard time stopping Jimmy Graham and the rest of the Saints offense. I could easily see a very high scoring game in this one as well. The NFL Odds have the total at 47 ½, and that may not be enough for these high-powered offenses.


Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins

After getting blown out on the road by the Saints, the Dolphins head back home in Week 5 to play the Super Bowl champion, Baltimore Ravens. The NFL odds for this matchup favor the Dolphins at -3, and although I think it will be a close game, the spread seems like a wash for me at the moment. The total of 43 ½ however is slightly intriguing. Both of these teams have outstanding defenses, and a total of 43 ½ while seeming low, may not be low enough. Keep an eye on this total. I can say now that I have a slight lean on the under in this game.



30th SEPT
Monday's Week 5 NFL Odds Report

By: Jordan Sharp


A quarter of the NFL regular season is already in the books, and it’s time to start looking ahead to Week 5. Even though Week 4 is not quite complete, Week 5 will be here in less than 72 hours, and there are a ton of great games on offer for our NFL picks. Let’s take an opening look at that Thursday night game, and some other interesting NFL odds for this week.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns

While this game may not be the primetime matchup everyone was hoping for, it is an interesting game for hardcore NFL fans and NFL bettors alike. The NFL odds for this Thursday game opened in favor of the home Browns at -3, but they have quickly moved to -4. The total for this one is set at 41. While I do think the Bills have a good shot at winning this one outright, the Browns have been playing well, even after trading Trent Richardson. Defense in this game will make the difference, and that’s why in the early NFL odds, I think a play on the under might not be a bad idea.


Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Yorks Giants

Even after starting 0-4 SU, the Giants are -2 ½ favorites this week against the Eagles. The Giants’ offensive line is banged up and their running game is the main thing that’s suffering now because of it. This makes moving the ball through the air tough as well. Against the Eagles, even though their defense isn’t great, it may be enough to beat the Giants on the road. Philly is 8-2 ATS in their last ten overall meetings with the Giants, and they are 5-1 SU in their last six trips to New York.


Seattle Seahawks vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Colts are the sports betting underdogs against the Seahawks this week, and after the Texans blew a win against the Hawks last week, this week it’s Indy’s turn to try beating Seattle. The NFL odds have the Colts as +2 ½ underdogs this week to Seattle, and while I don’t think a SU win is really likely, I do like the chances of the Colts here as home dogs. The Colts could just as easily slow the Hawks down early like they were the Texans.


Denver Broncos vs. Dallas Cowboys

This could also be one of the more entertaining games of the week, as Peyton Manning leads the undefeated Broncos into Dallas to play the Cowboys. I correctly predicted Dallas’ loss to the Chargers this past week, and this week the NFL odds have the Cowboys as +7 home underdogs. Dallas homers will be gearing up to put up cash on the Boys’ money line this week, but I am here to say I might be all over the other side of this bet. The Broncos and Manning are in different world right now.


Houston Texans vs. San Francisco 49ers

The Texans are coming off a very tough overtime loss to the Seahawks, and they have to go on the road into San Francisco this week. The Niners basically had a mini bye week after beating up on the Rams in the Thursday night game, and the NFL odds favor San Francisco at -6 ½, with a total of 42 ½. I’m not so sure that the Texans have value here, but I do think that a play on the total may be a good bet. A lower scoring game in primetime has been rare this season, but this is a candidate for one for sure.


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