Friday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
It’s Friday, and with the end of the workweek comes the beginning of another weekend of football. Let’s take one final look at the Week 10 NFL Odds, and cover some of the final games of the weekend.
The Sunday night game should be a great battle between the Cowboys and Saints, and the NFL Odds have the Saints as -7 favorites, with a large total of 54. On the surface, it seems as if Dallas may not be a bad bet +7. They are 15-12-1 ATS on the road since 2010, and they are even better during that stretch as a road underdog, going 12-6 ATS since 2010. However New Orleans might be one of the better home teams in football as well. The Saints are 21-8 ATS at home since 2010, and 20-7 ATS during that same stretch as home favorites. Seven points seems pretty sharp here, but at this point, I think the deception is the Cowboys are the play, so I’m leaning towards the Saints.
While it is somewhat funny to me, the Monday night game is a stinker again compared to the Sunday night game, as the Bully-gate Dolphins head into Tampa to play the winless Bucs. I’m going to go on the record and say that both of these coaches will be looking for new jobs by the end of the year, and with the NFL Odds favoring the road Dolphins here anywhere from -1 to -3, I think it’s safe to say that no one cares about this game. Tampa looked better last week almost upsetting the Seahawks, but that’s about all they have going for them this season. I’m not sure how every NFL fan living in Florida hasn’t pulled every last strand of hair out by now.
Thursday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 10 brings about a great slate of NFL action, and the NFL Odds are out across the board. It’s Thursday, so to kick off Week 10, let’s take one last look at the Thursday night game, as well as another game of interest on Sunday.
Redskins vs. Vikings
Washington comes into the game tonight as a -1 road favorite, with a total anywhere from 48 ½ to 50 points. Both of these defenses leave a lot to be desired, and the winner of this game will likely be the team that plays the better defense. While it should be a higher scoring game, the individual battle of Adrian Peterson against the Skins’ rushing defense should be the matchup to watch
I think the Skins have to be looked at as the teams with the value here. Minnesota has little offense in the passing game, even with Christian Ponder playing better. They lost Kyle Rudolph for basically the rest of the season, and that leaves very little for Ponder to throw to.
The Steelers are -3 NFL Odds favorites this week against the visiting Bills, and while they are a little banged up on the offensive end, the Bills could be getting back rookie, EJ Manuel for this game. Manuel has missed the last several weeks with a knee injury, but he should be a welcome sight for the passing game in Buffalo.
The Steelers are playing very inconsistently over the last several weeks, and even though they put up a ton of points in a losing effort last week against New England, the Buffalo defense is nothing to scoff at. The Bills have a great pass rush, and can cover well on the back end. I would not fault anyone for taking points with Buffalo this week.
Wednesday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
We are fully immersed into the 2nd half of the NFL season, and with Week 10 fast approaching, let’s take a look at some of the NFL Odds that are just now coming up on odds boards across the globe.
We talked about this one yesterday, but now that every sportsbook has odds on this game, the +9 we saw yesterday at BetOnline is long gone. Aaron Rodgers will miss this week’s game, and probably a few more with a broken collarbone, and the Packers have gone all the way to a -1 favorite in the NFL Odds this week. If Nick Foles can put up another performance like he did a week ago in Oakland, then the Packers are in serious trouble. There has been no official word on if Seneca Wallace will get the start, (however reports suggest that Wallace will get another go at it) or if the Packers will sign another QB. Either way, things don’t look good with the Eagles coming into town, but until we know more about the Packers’ offense, I wouldn’t touch this game with a ten-foot pole.
After getting beat down by those aforementioned Eagles, the Raiders have to travel all the way across the country this week to play the Giants. The NFL Odds are far from settling in this one, but the Giants are anywhere from a -7 to a -9 favorite against the visiting Raiders. Oakland’s offense could not get going this past week, and with the potential loss of Darren McFadden, the Raiders’ main weapon, the run game, is going to take a huge hit. Even though the Giants’ defensively have left a lot to be desired, this game looks like it favors New York. However until the lines all head in one direction, I am laying off as well.
Tuesday's Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp
Week 10 will be underway before you know it, and I’m back here on a Tuesday to take a look at some of the games being played this week. The NFL Odds for almost every game this week are out, so let’s see where we stand on some of these contests.
Check out SBRs Week 10 NFL Value Picks
Eagles vs. Packers
Currently, the only sportsbook that has this spread available for betting isBetOnline, and they have the Packers as -9 favorites. However last night against the Bears, Aaron Rodgers injured his throwing shoulder, and could not finish the game, leading to a loss. Even though the line hasn’t moved much since it opened at BetOnline, you can expect it to drop at least by half if not more once other shops start coming out with their line. I would be willing to endorse a bet on Philadelphia +9 right now just because of the uncertainty with Rodgers. Once more news is released on his status, I’m sure we will be able to revisit these NFL Odds once more by the end of the week. Hopefully by then we will know more about Rodgers’ health.
Texans vs. Cardinals
Hold the presses, because Case Keenum can play a little. Even though the Texans’ coughed up the win (the loss of Gary Kubiak at halftime really hurt) against the Colts this past Sunday night, the Texans showed something. Now Houston is anywhere from a +1 to a +3 underdog in Arizona this week. The Cardinals are coming off of their bye week, and with the extra week to prepare they have been labeled the favorites here. While the line is far from settling, I think the spread will likely settle around +1 once the public gets ahold of it later in the week. While I’m not sure if I’d be willing to recommend either side for yourNFL pick just yet, the Texans could have a very small amount of value right now around +2 ½.
Week 10 Opening Odds
By: Jordan Sharp
Redskins vs. Vikings
The Thursday game has the Vikings as +2 ½ home underdogs against the Redskins, and on a short week, this should be a pretty entertaining game. The Vikings have already committed to Christian Ponder after two straight solid games from the embattled QB, and with Robert Griffin III and the struggling Redskins coming to town on a short week, the Vikings could have some value here at home. I wouldn’t do it just yet, but if the spread rises to +3 or higher, I think the home dogs are the play. However right now it’s a coin flip with Ponder under center.
The Seahawks narrowly escaped giving the Bucs their first win, and they were playing at home. Week 9 was very curious indeed for the Seahawks, but they came back in the final minutes of the game to tie it, and they won it in overtime at home. This week the NFL odds have the Seahawks as -6 road favorites as they travel across the country to play the Falcons. The Panthers dominated Atlanta this past week, and with the Hawks’ defense coming to town, things won’t get any easier for the Falcons. If you like Seattle here on the road, I would place my NFL picks on them now, because I doubt they stay below a touchdowns favorite once the public gets ahold of these NFL odds.
Bengals vs. Ravens
This is also a very interesting game where we have a home underdog in the NFL odds. The Ravens are +1 ½ underdogs this week in the early NFL odds, and after their performance against the Browns in Week 9, I’m surprised it’s not more. The Bengals got beat late in the game against the Dolphins on Thursday, and since they have the extra time to prepare for this game, I think we have to like the Bengals over the struggling Ravens. If Cincinnati can win this game, it virtually guarantees them as AFC North champs. With the Browns on bye and the Ravens 2 ½ games back, if Baltimore loses this week, the defending champs will be watching the Super Bowl from their couch, and I think the Bengals are fully aware of this.
Panthers vs. 49ers
This may be one of the better games of the week, as the Panthers head across the country to play the 49ers. San Francisco was off this past week as the Panthers decimated the Falcons, and now the NFL odds have San Francisco as a -6 favorite, with a total of 41 ½. Both of these teams have very good defenses, and the Panthers have shown it time and again over the first 9 weeks. If they can play well on the road, they could easily give the 49ers a run for their money in this game. Cam Newton has been playing very well, and with the Niners’ secondary beatable this season, I would not be surprised at all to see the Panthers cover here. The line has already dropped a half point since Monday morning, as there are only a few online sportsbooks that still have the spread at 6 ½.