NFL Picks: NFL Week 1 Betting Trends

Jeff Grant

Friday, August 30, 2013 1:07 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 30, 2013 1:07 PM UTC

Let’s take a closer look at some NFL betting trends that you should be aware of before placing your football picks in Week 1. 

The 2013 NFL regular season is less than a week away, which has sports bettors busy crunching numbers after a hectic exhibition period.

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Top ATS performers in the preseason 

New Orleans went 4-0 ATS during its exhibition schedule, as the franchise welcomed back head coach Sean Payton, who missed all of last season due to Bountygate. The Saints are definitely a team to keep a close eye on in the NFL futures market

Seattle was definitely one of the more impressive teams during the preseason, as it covered all four of its preseason games, including a 40-10 blowout victory over the Denver Broncos on Aug. 17.

Washington demonstrated that it can win without the services of star quarterback Robert Griffin III, as head coach Mike Shanahan led the franchise to a perfect 4-0 ATS record. The reigning NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year has been cleared to play in Week 1 after rehabbing from offseason ACL surgery. 

Worst ATS performers in the preseason 

Pittsburgh will look to move past its 0-4 SUATS record during the preseason, but it looks as if the franchise could miss the NFL playoffs for a second consecutive year based on its on-field performance in August. 

NFL handicappers aren’t expecting much out of the Jacksonville Jaguars and Minnesota Vikings this season, as they both finished 1-3 ATS during exhibition play.

Season-opening ATS trends 

The Dallas Cowboys (7-3 ATS) and Denver Broncos (13-7 ATS) have both enjoyed success when opening a season at home recently, while the Cleveland Browns have failed to cover the number in front of their home fans in 10 of their last 13 opportunities in that situation. 

Sports bettors may be looking to play against the New England Patriots due to being the largest road favorite on the NFL odds board, but it’s important to consider that they’ve gone 10-5 ATS in their last 15 season openers when playing away from home. 

Matchup trends 

The New York Jets’ quarterback controversy is receiving a lot of media coverage, which could provide some value in the sports betting marketplace, as they’ve gone 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 

As mentioned previously, the Patriots may look like a side to back, especially since they’ve covered eight of their last nine road meetings with the Buffalo Bills. 

The Cincinnati Bengals (5-1 ATS) and San Diego Chargers (4-0 ATS) have both had success in covering the spread against their scheduled opponents—the Chicago Bears and Houston Texans respectively.

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