- 3 Unanswered Scores
This should be one of the closer and back and forth games of the weekend. Both teams have good, but beatable defenses, and both have solid, but inconsistent offenses. The Ravens may be without Ray Rice in this game, as he is listed as doubtful, but I doubt it will hurt the Ravens to the point of the Texans scoring three unanswered times on the road. The Ravens have yet to score three unanswered times this season, and the Texans have done it once against a bad San Diego defense. I could easily see a lower scoring game between these two teams as well, and I think the value of there not being three unanswered scores is good.
My Pick: ‘No’ (+130)
This is another game that I think lends itself to value with this prop. Both teams have capable defenses, and offenses that could look either great or terrible. That is a perfect recipe for a back and forth game in the scoring department. This game also has more value in the NFL Odds for a ‘No’ at +135. Even if it’s a shootout that normally means there won’t be three unanswered scores either. The spread is low just like the above game, and there is a good probability the winner will win by a lower margin of victory. As long as neither team gets a big lead early and messes it up, I like the odds for this game too.
My Pick: ‘No’ (+135)
First to 10 points
With the Redskins opening games like a division two college team, combined with the potent offense of the Lions, I think Detroit is a great value here to get to 10 points first in the game. At -120, there isn’t too much chalk, and the scenarios are too good. Detroit’s pass rush will frustrate Robert Griffin III early, and even though the Detroit secondary is beatable, the Redskins’ secondary is even worse. One quick pass to Calvin Johnson and the Lions could have 7 points, and there is a good chance that they get there before the struggling Washington offense. Reggie Bush practiced on Friday and will hopefully be ready to go, and that will just help this prop. Neither team has been the first to ten points this season.
My Pick: Lions (-120)
The Giants have been an inconsistent mess so far this season, but they get the beatable Panthers this week on the road, and it appears the sharps are on the Giants. The spread has moved from the Panthers being -1 favorites to the home team now taking +1. Nearly nine out of every ten dollars wagered on this game are on the Giants, and instead of betting the Giants will win a close game, I think just betting the Panthers offense will come out slow is a much better wager. Carolina has scored approximately 0 first quarter points this season and only 14 points in the first half this season. Seeing as they haven’t even seen 10 points by halftime yet this year, I like the chance of it happening again. Take the Giants to score ten points first for our NFL Picks.
My Pick: Giants (-120)