One of the toughest divisions in football could be the NFC South this season. Let’s take a look at what season win totals LVH Sportsbook has for the four teams in this division, and see where the offseason betting value is in these NFL odds.
Atlanta is inching closer and closer to a chance at winning a Super Bowl, so could this year be the year they do? Atlanta was 13-3 SU last season, and although I doubt they will match that this season in an improved division, the Falcons can and should be above ten wins in 2013. LVH has the ‘Over’ priced in at +110 this offseason, which puts this icing on the cake so to speak. Atlanta is ranked 15th in strength of schedule this season, and they lucked out this year being able to play the AFC East and the NFC West. There are about five easy wins and possibly more in those eight games alone. As long as they win their out of division schedule, and win at home, the Falcons will once again win this division, and be over the season wins total.
The Saints are priced the same at -110 whichever side of this wager you add to your NFL picks, and with the 3rd ranked strength of schedule, will they be able to return to challenge the Falcons? I think they will. The hiring of Rob Ryan for their defense is excellent, and of course the return of Sean Peyton will surely help. They added some nice parts on defense, and if they can get over their tough but beatable schedule, the Saints could very well see the playoffs this season. They didn’t get lucky with their road schedule this season, adding Seattle, Chicago and New England to an already tough divisional road schedule. However all of the above considered, I could see the Saints faltering some at first, but then all of a sudden turn into the Saints of old.
The Bucs are chalked really high on the ‘Over’ at -140, with the ‘Under’ coming in at +120. Tampa’s strength of schedule isn’t bad, but a deeper look at their schedule will tell another story. Four of their last six and five of their final nine games are on the road this season, and if they start their season trading wins and losses, the Bucs won’t be better than they were last season. In this division, the Bucs cannot afford their likely inconsistent offense.
Unlike the Bucs, the Panthers have a dynamic and franchise quarterback, and if Cam Newton can continue his dominant play from the end of last season, this team could skyrocket in total wins. Both sides of this bet are priced the same at -110, and I think the Panthers are set to surprise some people in 2013. They do have the toughest strength of schedule this season, but they have a softer road schedule this season. Even their trip to Atlanta falls on Week 17, a week that we could see Atlanta rest if they are locked into a playoff seed. With a solid defense and an improving offense, I see the Panthers getting to at least .500 this season.
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