NFC South divisional future odds update
Let’s take a brief look at the NFC South divisional future odds, and decide exactly how we should make our NFL picks regarding this division.
After an outstanding regular season and postseason run, the Atlanta Falcons come in as the outright favorites to win the NFC South in 2013. Atlanta got even better this off-season on offense, as they added Steven Jackson to their running back corps, as well as bringing back Tony Gonzalez. The Falcons are very enticing at even money to win the division this season from LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas. However even though they might be slightly undervalued, this division is going to be a much tighter race than it was a year ago. I'm kind of stuck on the fence on this one, but I'm the lean to the side of me that says layoff the divisional NFL future odds.
New Orleans Saints (+200)
The Saints are trying to rebound from a horrible 2012 season, as they come in at 2/1 to win the NFC South in 2013. One year removed from giving up more yards than any other team in NFL history for the season, can the Saints’ defense rebound this season to give New Orleans a chance at another postseason run? Much like the Falcons I'm not quite sold on the Saints this season, mostly because of that defense. At only 2/1, I'm not seeing the value with New Orleans, especially with Atlanta looming. I'd much rather try my luck with the Saints trying to rebound from an 8–8 ATS season a year ago.
Tampa Bay had a surprisingly good ATS season last year even though their straight up season was not as good as they would've hoped. This season I cannot see anything but the same for Tampa Bay, as they will be likely locked into a quarterback battle of some kind for the entire season until Josh Freeman gets benched. I think once again we’re going to find more value in the Bucs’ ATS than we are in a 5 to 1 bet to win the division. Tampa Bay was 7-1 ATS on the road last season, and that’s just the tip of the iceberg. Hold off until the season.
Carolina Panthers (+550)
The Panthers might be slightly undervalued here at 11 to 2, but that doesn't necessarily mean they hold value. I like the Panthers this season, and I think they will be improved from a year ago. However Carolina does have one of the tougher schedules in the entire NFL this season, and I think that alone kills any sort of future odds value they could of had in this spot. Once again we will have to search during the season for value with the Panthers. Carolina did have some value last season, which might repeat itself in some form this season. For instance the Panthers were 6-2 ATS on the road, and 5-0 ATS as a road underdog in the 2012 season. Look for things of that nature with Carolina, not a future odds bet.