The NFC conference is first up because it is the toughest. I think we have to be rather conservative with the NFC futures this offseason for several reasons, but the main being anything can happen in the NFL. I have carved up a three team bet to win the NFC this offseason with one as my clear favorite, but one or two injuries to the wrong guy could ruin it for your pick.
Therefore for this article I have hedged my favorite with a couple of 1-unit bets on other team that will recoup our losses and even cash a smaller profit if things don’t work out for our main pick. With that being said, let’s take a look at my three teams.
San Francisco 49ers +350 (4 units to win 14)
The winner last season is my pick to repeat as the NFC champs this season, and at +350 I don’t see why not. I did mention in my article on the 49ers that I like their Super Bowl price better and I do, but I have decided that the 49ers do hold some value.
San Francisco has made it to the NFC title game in the last two seasons, and they should be there again. They added Nnamdi Asomugha to an already great secondary and their defense should once again be one of the best in the NFL.
On the opposite side of things the offense has been upgraded as well. They added Aquan Boldin to go alongside Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis, and they already have an imposing duo at running back with Frank Gore and LaMichael James.
On paper, this team is the one to beat, and I am taking them as my clear favorite to win the NFC.
Green Bay Packers +600 (1 unit to win 6)
The Packers are just a really nice value to cover our Asses here. If you check out my NFL Future Odds pick on the Super Bowl, you’ll know that we will make a huge profit if the Packers win.
Green Bay is undervalued this offseason and will still be one of the best NFC teams out there. 6/1 and 12/1 are beautiful odds for an Aaron Rodgers led team, and if they can protect him and run the football this season, I think they could be a nice value pick here.
Atlanta Falcons +750 (1 unit to win 7.5)
If all else fails and the Falcons win the NFC and finally advance to the Super Bowl, we would still be left with a small profit. The Falcons got even closer last season and we could end up with a similar situation in the NFC title game this season.
The Falcons have added even more to their offense with Steven Jackson, and if they are able to put together a run on defense, this team is a clear value pick in the NFC. We know they have the talent.
The Field (No Bets)
You’ll notice a blatant absence of the Seahawks at +400 for my NFL Picks to win the NFC, and that’s because I’m not buying it. This team still has limited playoff experience against a bunch of really experienced teams. I’m selling on the Seahawks and going with a nice 6-unit bet on these three teams above to win the NFC.
The Sharp Pick