NFL Picks: NFC East Division Betting Odds Analysis

Steve Merril -

Friday, August 23, 2013 1:57 PM UTC

Friday, Aug. 23, 2013 1:57 PM UTC

As we close out the final few days of the NFL preseason, join us for our continuing NFL coverage. In this installment, we take a brief look at Season Total Wins odds for the NFC East.

Dallas Cowboys (2012: 8-8 SU, 6-10 ATS)

Odds to win division: +200

Season win total: 8.5

It was another 8-8 season for the Dallas Cowboys, and like their 2012 season, they failed to reach the post-season after losing their final regular season game. So they are close, and with solid offensive line play, Romo is capable of leading the Dallas offense to good things. Overall, the Cowboys have talent all over the field to make the playoffs this season.  

The biggest concern is the Dallas defense which once again allowed 400 points on the season; their second time in three years. That got defensive coordinator Rob Ryan fired and in steps the grizzled veteran Monte Kiffin. Head coach Jason Garrett is terrible, and he should have been sent packing as well. Dallas has the players, but they might not have the right head coach to lead them.

New York Giants (2012: 9-7 SU, 7-8-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +240

Season win total: 9.0

After beginning last season at 6-2 SU, the New York Giants ended on a disappointing 3-5 run to finish at 9-7 and out of the playoffs. However, the Giants were a much better team than their record indicated. They ranked higher in my power ratings than seven teams that made the playoffs, so there should be value in playing on the Giants this season. Their offense was terrific last season as they scored 429 points which averaged out to 26.8 points per game, 6th best in the NFL.

Their problems last year came on defense, not in points allowed (21.5 ppg), but in staying on the field for long stretches which wore them down late in games. That is a concern once again this season, especially since the Giants are not getting any younger.

Philadelphia Eagles (2012: 4-12 SU, 3-12-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +450

Season win total: 7.0

Chip Kelly is a tremendous coach, and we really like that the Philadelphia Eagles took a risk by relieving longtime head coach Andy Reid in order to give Kelly a chance. He’s a brilliant football mind, and we saw the spread-read option offense have a lot of success in the NFL last season. Teams will definitely adjust and be ready, but we expect Kelly will be a few steps ahead with his intricate offensive system.

However, the Eagles still need a lot of holes filled on both sides of the football, and they spent a ton of money to improve their leaky defense. Philadelphia is a team we anticipate watching a lot this season because of Kelly’s exceptional football acumen. However, he will need a couple of years to get his type of players on the team and to get the Eagles back to their winning ways.

Washington Redskins (2012: 10-6 SU, 11-5 ATS)

Odds to win division: +250

Season win total: 8.0

After starting last season at 3-6 SU, the Redskins finished on a 7-0 run in the regular season to win the division title. Quarterback Robert Griffin III was fantastic and head coach Mike Shanahan used his quarterback to perfection. Unfortunately for Washington, the injury to RGIII in the playoffs sealed their fate. If he can bounce back strong and show no ill-effects from his knee injury, then Washington could possibly repeat last season’s results.

Washington made the playoffs last season despite being out-gained in total yardage on the year. The Redskins had major defensive issues, especially their secondary which ranked #30 in passing yards allowed. Washington still has question marks on defense entering this season, along with a huge concern involving the health of their quarterback RGIII.

NFC East Prediction:

Despite missing the playoffs last season, the Giants were still the highest rated team in the NFC East based on my power ratings and they present value at +240 to win this division in the NFL odds, especially considering they won the Super Bowl just two years ago.

Meanwhile, the Redskins appear to be overrated after surprisingly winning this division last season and 'Under' 8 wins is worth look for your NFL picks, especially if quarterback RGIII becomes injured again.

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