NFL Picks: New York Jets Schedule Breakdown

Kevin Stott

Saturday, May 23, 2015 12:47 AM GMT

We wrap up the AFC East with a look at the New York Jets 2015 schedule game by game in our 32-team 2015 NFL Season Schedule Breakdown Series. Despite making many fantastic Offseason moves, it may take this team a couple of years to evolve. Let’s see if there are any Season Team Win Total Futures Book or Week 1 NFL odds in Jets games worth consideration in the Futures marketplace.

Favorable Schedule, Superb Spring Still Won’t Guarantee Success For Jets in 2015 Regular Season
The New York Jets (Season Team Win Total 7½, Over -150, Under +120, Bovada) deserve major credit for what they’ve done in the Offseason, probably bring more quality football players into the fold than anyone else from March to May. Jets General Manager Mike Maccagnan and Head Coach Todd Bowles went out and acquired QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (Texans), All-Pro CB Darrelle Revis (Patriots), CB Antonio Cromartie (Cardinals), S Marcus Gilchrist (Chargers), CB Buster Skrine (Browns) and G James Carpenter (Seahawks) and New York also took QB Bryce Petty (Baylor), DL Leonard Williams (USC), WR Devin Smith (Ohio State), DL Leonard Mauldin (Louisville), G Jarvis Harrison (Texas) and NT Deon Simon (Northwestern State) in the 2015 NFL Draft—all quality players whom have already signed with the team. The Jets also traded their 7th Round pick to the St. Louis Rams for former Vanderbilt RB Zac Stacy, so this team pretty much bolstered all areas of its roster with players who can contribute both Now and others like Williams, Smith and Petty who may be stars of the Future.

But with so much change and big questions at QB with Fitzpatrick and Geno Smith likely fighting to be New York’s Offensive leader in 2015 and playing in the AFC East with the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (-150 NFL Odds to win AFC East, Bovada) and the much improved Buffalo Bills (9-7, 343 PF-289 PA) and Miami Dolphins (8-8, 388 PF-373 PA), this could be another long season for this AFC East team. And for Head Coach Bowles and the Jets, having to play the Patriots (Team Season Win Total 10½ -105, Bovada), the Dolphins (+400 to win AFC East, Bovada) and the Bills (+425) twice each will still prove to be a massive obstacle for the new-look Jets (+750), which won their Opener last season (Raiders), but then went on an 8-game Losing Streak to start the season off (1-8) and in a hopeless and laughable position. New York was 1-5 against the AFC East last season, its lone Win coming in Week 17 at Miami (37-24) as Smith passed for an amazing 358 yards and Gang Green avoided a winless 2014 season in its own division. Let’s break down the Jets 2015 schedule, week by week, one that looks like the Jets are either playing teams they have no chance of likely beating and then others against the dregs of the NFL in which this team could probably squeeze out a couple of wins.

 

Week 1—Sunday, September 13 vs. Cleveland Browns (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
If Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the start here on NFL Kickoff Weekend against the Browns (Week 1 Odds: Jets -2½ -125 over Cleveland Browns, Total: 41, GTBets), New York has a good chance at starting the fresh season off 1-0 in this AFC interdivisional clash at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. New York beat the AFC North’s Pittsburgh Steelers in the Regular Season and also defeated the Cincinnati Bengals in the Preseason, so the team should be confident enough to take out Cleveland (75/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada) at Home in the 2015 season lidlifter, although this will probably be really close. The Browns (3-5 Road in 2014) may be a little better than the Jets in reality, at least for Now, but this is a tough spot for them.

Jets Week 1 Predicted Result: Win (1-0)

 

Week 2—Monday, September 21 at Indianapolis Colts (ESPN, 8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT): The Jets are under the Prime Time spotlight in Week 2 in this Monday Night Football TV date against AFC South dominators, the Indianapolis Colts (8/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada) and star QB Andrew Luck. The Colts scored 458 points last year while the Jets (2-6 Road) scored 283. Think about that. Because this is at Lucas Oil Stadium and because Indianapolis (15/4 to win AFC, Bovada), is in the top tier of NFL teams while the Jets were the 4th worst club in the AFC last season (Titans, Jaguars, Raiders), Common Sense says no matter how many great guys New York drafted or signed or traded for, winning this game is a longshot as the high point spread for the game will likely reflect. Luck trying to throw on the Jets now with its improved DBs—Revis especially—will definitely be more difficult, but with Indianapolis’s talented TEs (Dwayne Allen, Coby Fleener) and its expectations heading in here, the Colts should win this by 10 or more. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened the Colts as 7½-point favorites for this affair in their NFL Games of the Year.

Jets Week 2 Predicted Result: Loss (1-1)

 

Week 3—Sunday, September 27 vs. Philadelphia Eagles (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
The Philadelphia Eagles (20/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada) fly into MetLife Stadium in quaint East Rutherford, New Jersey for this Week 3 affair which will probably leave New York AFC at or under the .500 mark for the duration of the 2015 NFL Regular Season in my mind..unfortunately for them. Hey, Rome wasn’t built in a day, bacon breath. With Philadelphia (10/1 to win NFC, Bovada) likely fighting with the Dallas Cowboys (10/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada) in the NFC East, winning Road games like this against the Jets (2-6 at Home in 2014) is imperative although this could end up being a tight game for Philadelphia Head Coach Chip Kelly and the Eagles. For me, this may be a great spot to back Philly.

Jets Week 3 Predicted Result: Loss (1-2)

 

Week 4—Sunday, October 4 vs. Miami Dolphins (at Wembley Stadium, London, England, United Kingdom) — (CBS, 9:30 a.m. ET/6:30 a.m. PT)
The NFL Games of the Year early opening odds (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) for this AFC East game Across The Pond saw the Miami Dolphins installed as 3-point favorites over New York, and that speaks volumes about what oddsmakers really think about these two teams five months away from the NFL Regular Season on a truly neutral, beans-and-toast site in Wembley Stadium which is more used to soccer balls than footballs (but it you call a soccer ball a football in London you may be chastised like you don’t have a Football of your own if you’re an American. We live in chippy and ridiculous times you know.). Anyway, the Fish have a Cakewalk schedule to open up the season (Redskins, Jaguars, Bills, Jets, Bye Week, Titans) and despite the fact that it looks like the Jets have really improved their roster this Spring, the edge here has to go to Miami here which just signed QB Steve Tannehill to a $96 million contract extension earlier this week, and actually has some stability at the position while Fitzpatrick or Smith will be probably still be feeling their oats for New York (4-12 in 2014) here in Week 4.

Jets Week 4 Predicted Result: Loss (1-3)

 

Week 5—Sunday, October 11 — Bye Week

 

Week 6—Sunday, October 18 vs. Washington Redskins (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
Somebody has to win this game and because it’s at Home at MetLife Stadium in sunny East Rutherford, New Jersey and because the Jets will be glad to be back on American soil and will have a wonderful 13 days off to Rest, Heal and Prepare for the not-so mighty Redskins (100/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada), the slight edge goes to host New York AFC here in this inter-conference affair, although the NFC (NFC -2½ to win Super Bowl; Total 50½, Bovada) seems to have caught and sort of passed the AFC (AFC +110 Moneyline to win Super Bowl, Bovada) these last several years. This game will be probably more important to the Jets than it will the Redskins, but whether or not Fitzpatrick or Smith or whomever can pull out the ‘W’ is really more of a 55-45 proposition.

Jets Week 6 Predicted Result: Win (2-3)

 

Week 7—Sunday, October 25: at New England Patriots (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
Last year in the 2014 NFL Regular Season, the Jets (18/1 to win AFC, Bovada) lost to the Super Bowl champion New England Patriots (4/1 to win AFC, Bovada) by a total of just 3 points (17-16 at Home and 27-25 on the Road) in their two meetings, but remembering that reality and coming off a rough patch of scheduling (Cowboys and Colts on the Road) and QB Tom Brady & Company will be glad to be back Home and playing the first of two back-to-back AFC East Home games at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro. The Jets stealing away All Pro CB Darrelle Revis from New England (4/9 to win AFC East, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) was quite the coup and New York will be much improved and will definitely be up for this game, knowing how well they played last season, but the site and the spot on the schedule are simply bad news for the Jets here.

Jets Week 7 Predicted Result: Loss (2-4)

 

Week 8—Sunday, November 1: at Oakland Raiders (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET/1:05 p.m. PT)
New York will head 2,892 miles west and play in a Time Zone (PT) three hours behind the team’s Body Clocks and be doing so for the first time this season, after flying 3,457 miles to the United Kingdom just 4 weeks earlier to dance with the Dolphins in Jolly Old England. So, the J-E-T-S, Jets! Jets! Jets! may be really sick and tired of literal Jets! Jets! Jets! and Air Travel and may have more value in their Frequency Flier Miles than they do in terms of value in NFL wins at this point in the season. (These are jokes, simmer down Melvin). With a new Head Coach (Jack Del Rio), a new Offensive Scheme, a decent QB (David Carr) and a couple of new acquisitions at WR in Free Agent signing Michael Crabtree (49ers) and Round 1, #4 overall Draft Pick and Biletnokoff Winner Amari Cooper (Alabama), this team should be fun to watch and will expect to win this game against the visiting Jets at O.co Coliseum in Oakland.

Jets Week 8 Predicted Result: Loss (2-5)

 

Week 9—Sunday, November 8: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
Facing the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars (3-13, -163 Point Differential) in an AFC interdivisional matchup from MetLife Stadium in rustic East Rutherford, New Jersey, the host Jets (4-12, -118 PD in 2014) will likely need and expect to win this game more than the lowly Jaguars (200/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada) at in this particular point on the schedule. Jacksonville (100/1 to win AFC, Bovada) does have a decent QB now which it can build around in Blake Bortles, but this team was a pathetic 0-8 on the Road last season and the Jaguars (Season Team Total Wins 5½ Over -150, Under +120, Bovada) scored less points (249) than anyone else in the NFL. Enough written. Edge, Jets (4-8 vs. AFC in 2014).

Jets Week 9 Predicted Result: Win (3-5)

 

Week 10—Thursday, November 12: vs. Buffalo Bills (NFL Network, 8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT)
Prime Time TV and the shortest of possible days of rest (3) for these two AFC East teams from the Empire State in a huge game for both and maybe the Jets only real chance of winning an AFC East divisional game this year unless they gel real quickly and shock the world. Last season in this game, Buffalo thrashed the Jets, 43-23, and the Bills also won by 35 points (38-3) in the second meeting in a game rescheduled (Snow) and played in Ford Field in Detroit, so a +55 (points) and 2-0 tally for Buffalo against the Jets in 2014. So, Buffalo and new QB Matt Cassel will be confident, not at all scared and maybe even expecting to sneak a win out here. And they may need it with the Patriots and Dolphins in the division. Also, Bills may be on a nice roll and eyeballing the postseason while New York and Head coach Bowles realize this rebuilding thing may take a little bit of Time. Oddsmakers (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) opened this game a Pick ‘Em (Even) in their annual NFL Games of the Year.

Jets Week 10 Predicted Result: Loss (3-6)

 

Week 11—Sunday, November 22: at Houston Texans (CBS, 4 p.m. ET/1 p.m. PT)
The Jets will come into this game at NRG Stadium in Houston against the Texans (50/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada) off 9 days rest, but still, more Travel and a slight 1-hour Body Clock adjustment (EDT to CDT) and a game opponents in Houston (9-7, 5-3 at Home in 2014) means that the Jets probably Lose this AFC interdivisional tilt in a game which could be important for the hosts in their pursuit of the postseason. The Texans will expect to win this game. The Jets won’t. And this is where New York might start talking about “next season.”

Jets Week 11 Predicted Result: Loss (3-7)

 

Week 12—Sunday, November 29: vs. Miami Dolphins (CBS, 4 p.m. ET/1 p.m. PT)
Last year in this game at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (in Week 13), the visiting Dolphins (16/1 to win AFC, Bovada) edged the Jets, 16-13 as QB Tannehill threw for 235 yards., But with all of the impressive talent the Jets have brought in—Revis, Cromartie, Fitzpatrick, Petty, Smith, Williams and many more—the Jets (28/1 to win AFC, bet365) may be improved as a whole and finally starting to gel at this three-quarter point in the NFL’s Regular Season but still really feel frustrated by the reality of their Record, spot in the basement (again) of the AFC East and prospects of no NFL Playoffs for yet another year. But with Fitzpatrick potentially behind center, the Jets (+700 to win AFC East, Ladbrokes) could also be seeking revenge for that theoretical Week 4 loss in Londontown and Gang Green may just get Miami here at Home, although this should be deemed a toss-up. But, this will be one of those game on their schedule that the Jets will think that they can win and November in New Jersey may be a little cool for the Dolphins and, as discussed here, Miami has an absolutely brutal 2nd Half Schedule this 2015 Regular Season and this game falls in the midst of an extremely Rough Patch.

Jets Week 12 Predicted Result: Win (4-7)

 

Week 13—Sunday, December 6: vs. New York Giants (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
It’s ‘The Battle of New York’, a game between two very below average teams who play their Home games in a Stadium in the state of New Jersey. Welcome to the Dawn, brother. Not really a Road game for the Jets—10 of the Jets games this season will be played in New York or New Jersey—but a Road game nonetheless, oddsmakers have made the G-Men, QB Eli Manning and WR Odell Beckham Jr. healthy 3½-point favorites (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) in their NFL Games of the Year. But this could be fun and close and maybe a game that goes to OT or is that one NFL game annually that ends in a Tie. You never know. New York AFC vs. New York NFC could make that happen. But Logic says somebody that wins and the Giants (6-10 in 2014) know who their QB (Manning the Junior) is and have some great WRs (Beckham, Victor Cruz, Rueben Randle), and if the Jets did somehow beat the Dolphins in Week 12, they probably won’t beat the Giants here in this inter-conference, intrastate, non-interstellar date. Last season, the Jets had Zero (0) win streaks and 0 win streaks (2-games or more) in a season is the same as we all had looking in. And we were eating  Jalapeño-flavored Potato Chips and knew no plays. This is one of those games whose decision could really affect bets on Jets (and maybe Giants) Season Team Win Totals. We shall see.

Jets Week 13 Predicted Result: Loss (4-8)

 

Week 14—Sunday December 13: vs. Tennessee Titans (CBS, 4 p.m. ET/1 p.m. PT)
The Jets get to stay put at MetLife Stadium and get an early Christmas gift in the form of a visit from the Tennessee Titans (2-14 last season), the team with the worst record in the NFL last season and one which won just one game (1-7) on the Road. Ho ho ho. The Titans (200/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada) may be starting Rookie and #2 overall pick in the NFL Draft, Heisman Trophy winner Marcus Mariota (Oregon) in this game and will come in thinking they can steal the win here, but Tennessee may possess the league’s weakest overall roster and the Jets (4-8 vs. AFC in 2014) have done an incredible job bringing in talent to theirs this Spring, probably more so that any other team, as was written about here at Sportsbook Review earlier this month, so beating the lowly Titans here at this spot in the schedule at this point in a possibly dismal season will be essential. And they should.

Jets Week 14 Predicted Result: Win (5-8)

 

Week 15—Saturday, December 19: at Dallas Cowboys (NFL Network, 8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT)
Another Prime Time TV game and another trip to Texas (1,390 miles) and more airplanes for the Jets! Jets! Jets! before Christmas. But facing QB Tony Romo and the improved Cowboys on the Road in a game that will (likely) mean something to them but absolutely nothing to New York is not much Giving in the Holiday Spirit to the Jets, now is it Saint Roger? Talk about The Grinch Who Stole Christmas. No Christmas card for you from the JETS, Jets! Jets! Jets! this year, Mr. Goodell. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook NFL Games of the Year odds for this game see the host Cowpoke as 6½-point favorites, but with the pressure on and New York AFC tired of traveling, Dallas (10/1 to win Super Bowl, Bovada) and WR Dez Bryant should win by double digits in this spot, like 31-21 or something.

Jets Week 15 Predicted Result: Loss (5-9)

 

Week 16—Sunday, December 27: vs. New England Patriots (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT)
This was another surprisingly close meeting last season between these two AFC East teams with New England eking out a 17-16 victory here at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey against Jets (1-5 vs. AFC East in 2014) in Week 16. So, expect the Patriots to be a little more prepared and a little saltier this time around against the Jets here in a game in which the the visitors and defending NFL champions may need in order to try to secure Homefield Advantage in the AFC this postseason. And, this could also very well be the one that pushes New England Over its’ posted (10½ -105, Bovada) Team Season Team Win Total this season. Winners simply find ways to Win and the Jets and their fans should thank their Lucky Stars that the Titans (2-14), Jaguars (3-13) and Raiders (3-13) all call the AFC home themselves.

Jets Week 16 Predicted Result: Loss (5-10)

 

Week 17—Sunday, January 3: at Buffalo Bills (CBS, 4 p.m. ET/1 p.m. PT)
The Regular Season finale sees the Jets heading upstate to Orchard Park and likely snowy Ralph Wilson Stadium. Last season, this game had to actually be moved to Detroit (Ford Field) because of the massive snowfall in Buffalo—the Bills rolled 38-3 in Motown in the rescheduled game—and with New York losing by an average of 27.5 ppg to the Bills last year and Buffalo bringing in some nice new parts (RB LeSean McCoy, WR Percy Harvin) to add to their already nice Offensive roster (WR Sammy Watkins, WR Robert Woods, QB EJ Manuel) combined with the fact that this game is at Orchard Park, is the Regular Season finale and may still actually mean something to the hosts is enough to give the host Bills the definite nod here. Signing Revis and drafting Williams, Smith and Petty will do wonders for the Jets, but it will probably take a couple of seasons for this team to get where they want to be, especially here in the seemingly overall steadily improving AFC East. Maybe next year. Probably not.

Jets Week 17 Predicted Result: Loss (5-11)

 

Conclusions
The biggest games on the New York Jets schedule this season are probably the NFL Kickoff Weekend opener against the Browns (for Confidence and Momentum) and the Week 10 AFC East showdown with the Buffalo Bills at Home at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford in a game which may either knock the Jets out of playoff consideration, keep them in the running and/or possibly affect their Season Team Win Total. In the end, expect the Jets to finish around a game better than last season (5-9 vs. 4-10) with the same divisional record record (1-5 in AFC East) as they did last season with the two (predicted) Losses each to the Patriots, Bills and Texas teams (Texans, Cowboys) being the big difference between this team having a very impressive season and just another Jets-like season. Getting to play teams like the Titans (2-14), Jaguars (3-13), Raiders (3-13), Redskins (4-12) and Giants (6-10) would be great news for most teams in most seasons but the AFC East has actually become quite competitive and no matter how much they improved their roster this Spring, this Jets team is still climbing out of a really Big Hole and still has much work to do to even become a .500 team in the not-so immediate Future and be worthy of consideration for our NFL picks. They’ll get there someday.

New York Jets Projected Final Record: 5-11

New York Jets Team Win Total Pick: Under 7½ +120 (Bovada)

New York Jets NFL Games of the Year Picks: Bills Pick over Jets, Week 10; Cowboys -6½ over Jets, Week 15 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)