NFL Picks: New York Giants Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, August 13, 2015 7:29 PM GMT

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the New York Giants.

 


The 2015 NFL season is all set to begin Thursday night, September 10th, but before we get to that point, we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks well in advance of Kickoff Weekend. Today we are profiling the New York Giants, who finished 6-10 in 2014 and in third place in the NFC East.

To begin, here is a summary of the New York betting statistics over the past five seasons. Please take note all of these statistics are for regular season games only.

 

New York Giants Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  17-22-1  19-21      36-43-1
ATS Favorite  15-16-1  5-7  20-23-1
ATS Underdog  2-4  13-14  15-18
Avg. Margin  +2.7  -2.2  +0.2
Over – Under  19-18-3    19-21  38-39-3  
Avg. Total Score    47.4  46.8  47.0

 

Although the Giants do not have very severe splits over the past five years, they have been generally overrated during this time with an overall 45.6 percent ATS rate, including 43.6 percent ATS at home. There is not much going on with their totals either, with very little variance in the average totals scores in their home games vs. road games.
Key Trend: The ‘under’ is 14-5-1, 73.7 percent when the Giants are home favorites between -3 and -6½.

Up next we take a look at the Giants’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 New York Giants Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  23.7  13th  25.0  23rd
Rushing  100.1  22nd  135.1  30th
Yds. Per Rush    3.6  30th  4.9  32nd
Passing  267.0  7th  240.6  18th
Yds Per Pass  7.0  11th  7.4  28th
Total Yards  367.1  11th  375.7  29th
Yds. Per Play  5.6  17th  6.3  31st

 

The Giants were fine offensively in 2014, especially with the emergence of Odell Beckham, Jr. after he missed the first four games, but the defense looked helpless many times and the resulting 6-10 record was actually worse than the 7-9 mark in 2013. The second straight losing season was clinched when the Giants blew a 21-0 lead in a 25-24 loss to the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 13 to drop to 3-9.

And now let us peek at various New York Giants Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 New York Giants NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +5250  +4188  +2800  +5400
NFC Conf. Odds  +2050  +2272  +1600  +1800
NFC East Odds  +415  +486  +300  +400
Win Total  8½ un-140    8 ov-125  8½ un-115    8½ un-135  

 

It seems the sportsbooks expect an 8-8 season from the Giants this year, which would be two games better than last year, but New York is capable of better if the defense improves just a bit, as the Giants did look much better while winning three of their last four games last season.

 

New York Giants Key Additions
The two biggest veteran additions for the Giants were running back Shane Vereen, who has actually seen some action as a wide receiver during practice, and linebacker J.T. Thomas. New York hopes to have found more defensive help via the draft however in the forms of safeties Landon Collins and Mykkele Thompson and defensive end Owa Odighizuwa.

New York Giants Key Losses
The offense remains basically in tact this year other than the loss of back-up running back Peyton Hillis, who was certainly expendable. The defense said goodbye to safeties Antrel Rolle, Stevie Brown and Quintin Demps, cornerback Walter Thurmond and defensive end Mathias Kiwanuka. Given the defensive numbers from last year, those defections may not be a bad thing.