The New York Giants have become the default favorite to win this division and, in the offseason NFL odds, have been handicapped at 9 wins for the season. LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas has set the over priced at +100 and the under at -120. Let's take a detailed look at the Giants' chances this season.
The Giants lead the division in possible total season wins. See how the rest of the NFC East compares.
The Giants start off the season with several road games. Three of their first four games of the season and five of their first eight are on the road. Even though they will be playing a lot on the road early on, they really aren't tough road games outside of the division matches. Either Chicago or Dallas are their toughest road games in the first eight weeks, and both of those opponents are beatable.
They play Denver in Week 2 at home, but that is also a winnable game if they catch the Broncos napping. Actually, there's a real chance for the Giants to rally off several wins before their bye week. They are going to need it too, because the back half of their schedule is much tougher than the first half. Even though five of their last eight games are at home, there are games against Green Bay, Seattle at home and their divisional games will be no cakewalk. If all goes well though, the Giants will be a solid football team this season, but of course there are multiple concerns about the offense, and the health of Jason Pierre-Paul.
How do the Giants rank against the rest of the NFC East this season?
New York starts it off early in their division, as they head on the road to Dallas in Week 1. NFL odds have the Giants as +3 road underdogs in this spot, with a total of 49 points. While the news this offseason has surrounded the Giants’ holdouts, the Cowboys aren’t without their offensive and defensive concerns. It’s hard to handicap this game because of Pierre-Paul’s unknown status, the Cowboys’ defensive changes, the skill player questions for the Giants, and the status of DeMarco Murray.
However with all that being said, I am leaning towards the Giants here in Week 1. The Giants were 2-2 SU and 2-1-1 ATS as road underdogs in 2012, while the Cowboys were 1-6 ATS as home favorites. So with little changing from last year to this season, are we really thinking the Cowboys are the play here? I don’t think so.
The Sharp Pick
I think the Giants may be one of the most undervalued teams in the NFL this offseason, and their schedule is very favorable to a playoff run and cashing the over in their season wins total. The Giants can very easily be 7-1 SU by the time their bye week rolls around in Week 9. If they are successful on the road this season, especially early, I see the Giants getting to 10 wins easily in 2012. With the injury to Robert Griffin III, the Cowboys’ issues, and the Eagles being on a rebuilding season, the Giants have a great chance of winning the division and a lot of games, making them solid NFL picks.
My Pick: ‘Over’ 9 +100
Week 1 Lean: Giants +3 at Bet365