NFL Picks: New Orleans Saints Win Totals & Game-by-Game Predictions

Friday, June 5, 2015 6:47 PM UTC

Friday, Jun. 5, 2015 6:47 PM UTC

Check out our game-by-game preview for the New Orleans Saints in 2015. We serve up predictions for each and every game and our final NFL betting verdict against the Season Win Totals. Will the Saints crack the 9 win total mark set by Vegas odds makers?

<p><strong>New Orleans Saints Look To Bounce Back</strong><br /> Odds makers send the New Orleans Saints as one of two teams to beat in the NFC South race; the other is the Atlanta Falcons. Both are trading at +200 NFL odds, nudging slightly ahead of the two-time champions <a href="" target="_blank" title="Carolina Panthers Win Totals &amp; Game-by-Game Predictions">Carolina Panthers</a>. Does this mean the Saints are going to bounce back in 2015?</p> <p>The Saints are after an unmemorable run 7-9 SU run, a year after they went 11-5 SU and reached the NFL playoffs. There are those NFL bettors that believe Drew Brees is on the decline based on his account for the Saints last season. Yet. odds makers aren't in accordance as they've set the Saints as one of the faves in the NFC South. Where the odds makers have been forced to make a slight re-evaluation, though, is on the season win totals. After opening at 9, <a href="" target="_blank" title="NFC Conference: NFL Picks &amp; Odds for Teams' Season Win Totals">their season win totals have been bet down to 8.5</a> with the OVER and UNDER trading on par at -115. </p> <p>In 2014, the Saints were handed the 23rd toughest schedule in the NFL, which boasted a 0.469 winning percentage. Considering the combined winning percentage was 0.469 and that the Saints were coming off an 11-5 SU season, <a href="" target="_blank" title="Revisit our Weekly Breakdown of the Saints Total Season Wins from last year">we had the Saints projected to go OVER the 9.5 season win total set by Vegas Odds makers last year</a>. Clearly, we (like many NFL pundits) couldn't have been more wrong. Then again, who knew that the NFC South would stink up the league so much as no team finished above .500! </p> <p>In 2015, <a href="" target="_blank" title="Strength of Schedule &amp; Projected Season Win Totals">the Saints have the fifth "softest" schedule with a winning percentage of 0.429</a> thanks mainly to the entire NFC South depositing an underwhelming account in 2014 and a somewhat favorable crossover with the AFC South.  </p> <p>Can the Saints capitalise on a slightly lesser NFL schedule and turn around their season? Let's find out as we preview their 2015 NFL schedule and serve up our projected <a href="" target="_blank" title="Plethora of NFL Picks, Predictions &amp; Odds Analysis">NFL picks</a> on their season win total.</p> <p>Here goes....</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 1: vs. Arizona (road), Sunday, Sept 13 at 4:05 PM</strong><br /> Considering that the Cardinals went 11-5 last season, this isn't going to be an easy road trip in the first week of the 2015 season, even if NFL bettors are of the opinion that the Cardinals performed above their market value. Fact is, the Saints are coming off a disappointing 7-9 season and a massive overhaul in the offseason. It's going to get some time to work out those kinks. If Carson Palmer is back to form, it'll be difficult to gain the road win.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Loss<br /> Record: 0-1</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 2: vs. Tampa Bay (home) Sunday, Sept 20 at 1 PM</strong><br /> <a href="" target="_blank" title="Does Jameis Winston Improve Bucs' Division Odds?">Jameis Winston</a> and the Bucs descend on the Dome in week 2 NFL betting. If Drew Brees and the Saints are to regain their home dominance of the 2013 season, this game serves up as the perfect matchup to get them on the right foot. The Bucs are a team in transition and if reports are correct, the rookie is expected to start the season as the No.1 quarterback. Dree Brees and the Saints should school the hot NFL draft prospect.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 1-1</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 3: vs. Carolina (road) Sunday, Sept 27 at 1 PM</strong><br /> This was a rather wacky rivalry in 2014, with both sides splitting the series on the road. The Saints won 28-10 in Charlotte while the Panthers decimated the Saints 41-10 in New Orleans, against the NFL odds no less. Cam Newton poses a problem for the Saints' defense, which hardly strikes an intimidating pose. Seeing as this is a game in Charlotte, the Saints will be hard pressed to replicate the win here again. Still, it's a divisional rivalry so it could go either way if they play each other close.  </p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Loss<br /> Record: 1-2</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 4: vs. Dallas (home), Sunday, Oct 4 at 8:30 PM</strong><br /> The Saints are at home in week 4 NFL betting as they welcome last season's best road team, the <a href="" target="_blank" title="Dallas Cowboys Win Totals &amp; Game-by-Game Predictions">Dallas Cowboys</a>. The Dome, typically, is a tough place to win, especially when it's Primetime football. But this one is difficult to predict based on the contrasting fortunes of each team in 2014. The Saints will be looking to reclaim home dominance while the Cowboys will be feeling the pressure to replicate their sublime road form of last season. It could come down to the wire but we'll give the Saints some respect here on our NFL picks.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 2-2</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 5: vs. Philadelphia (road), Sunday, Oct 11 at 1 PM</strong><br /> There's a lot of excitement and intrigue surrounding the <a href="" target="_blank" title="Philadelphia Eagles Win Totals &amp; Game-by-Game Predictions">Philadelphia Eagles</a> this season. The question uppermost in the minds of NFL bettors is who is going to be the starter? Does anybody know for certain right now? Hardly. That makes it a bit of a difficult game to predict. But if you trust in the genius of Chip Kelly, who has led his Eagles to 10-6 SU seasons two years running, you figure this is going to be a tough road test.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Loss<br /> Record: 2-3</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 6: vs. Atlanta (home), Thursday, Oct 15 at 8:25 PM</strong><br /> It's a short week for the Saints as they return to the Dome for a Thursday clash with the divisional rivals Atlanta Falcons. If there's one thing that could be considered an advantage it's that the Eagles' defense won't leave them too banged up for this pivotal divisional rivalry. It's Primetime football at home for the Saints. They should take advantage.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 3-3</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 7: vs. Indianapolis (road) Sunday, Oct 25 at 1PM</strong><br /> Of all the AFC South clashes this season, this one is going to be the toughest for the Saints to win especially at Lucas Oil Stadium. Win this and the prognosis for the season may be more favorable than originally anticipated. The Saints' pass defense was one of the worst in the league last year, which tips the advantage to the <a href="" target="_blank" title="Indianapolis Colts Season Win Totals &amp; Game-by-Game Predictions">Indianapolis Colts</a>. But Drew Brees has enough savvy to outwit and outplay a great quarterback such as Andrew Luck and this is the sort of game that he needs to win to put paid on his critics, who are suggesting he's on the decline.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 4-3</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 8: vs. NY Giants (home), Sunday, Nov 1 at 1 PM</strong><br /> The New York Giants descend on the Super Dome in week 8 NFL betting for what should be a right shootout. The match features a bit of a homecoming for <a href="" target="_blank" title="Giants Smart For Letting Eli Manning Play Out Contract">Eli Manning</a>, Odell Beckham Jr. amongst others, so they could be enjoying a bit of the home ground feel that is usually reserved for the hosts. The last time these two sides met the Giants served up a whopping 52-27 win at MetLife Stadium. A lot is being made about the Giants underachieving in the last few seasons, but this year they could finally get all the pieces to click. What's more, the Saints found ways to bungle games last season. We're not so sure those issues aren't going to resurface from time to time this season. As such, this is one of those games that could go against popular NFL betting opinion.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Loss<br /> Record: 4-4</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 9: vs. Tennessee (home), Sunday Nov 8 at 1 PM</strong><br /> The Tennessee Titans have a lot of work to do before they can be considered legitimate contenders in the NFL for anything really. Will <a href="" target="_blank" title="Does Marcus Mariota Improve Titans' Division Odds?">Marcus Mariota</a> be the starter here? Perhaps. On paper, the Saints have the edge and should win this game or colour the world shocked.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 5-4</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 10: vs. Washington (road), Sunday Nov 15 at 1 PM</strong><br /> If last season were any indication, RGIII and the Redskins have a lot of growing pains ahead of them. This is a team with too many divas and a lot of in-fighting. Until they sort out those problems, they can't be taken too seriously. The Saints should romp the Redskins in the nation's capital if Drew Brees is worth his salt.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 6-4</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 11: BYE</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 12: vs. Houston (road), Sunday, Nov 29 at 1 PM</strong><br /> The Saints come off a week 11 bye and welcome the very talented Houston Texans' defense to the Super Dome. This one is a potentially tricky matchup for Drew Brees as the Texans have the edge on the defensive side of the ball. They could give him fits. While they might not have the better quarterback in Brian Hoyer, J.J. Watt and his motley crew could do enough damage to make Hoyer look like an All-Star.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Loss<br /> Record: 6-5</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 13: vs. Carolina (home), Sunday, Dec 6 at 1 PM</strong><br /> Week 13 NFL betting sets up a pivotal clash between the Panthers and the Saints, two of the faves for the NFC South crown. Well, to be frank, anybody can win the NFC South, save for the Bucs. So that might be a moot point. In any event, these two sides have finished top two in the last two seasons. The Saints will be looking for payback for the 41-10 humiliation last year.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 7-5</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 14: vs. Tampa Bay (road), Sunday, Dec 13 at 1 PM</strong><br /> The Saints descend on Tampa Bay in week 14 NFL betting for what should be a straightforward road trip. That said the Saints are known to throw in a dud on the road here and there. This could be one of those rare shockers to hit the NFL betting floor.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Loss<br /> Record: 7-6</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 15: vs. Detroit (home), Monday, Dec 21 at 8:30 PM</strong><br /> Monday Night Football betting is on the cards when the Saints and Lions collide at the Super Dome. Both sides are no strangers to playing under a roof so the playing field is level in that respect. Home edge tips the scale towards the Saints, but the Lions can play anybody tough; so long as Mathew Stafford keeps his cool, that is. He's not the best big game player in the league, to put it mildly. The Saints lost a narrow 24-23 game last year in Detroit. This could be just as close with the win going either way. We're taking a chance on the Lions in our early NFL picks.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Loss<br /> Record: 7-7</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 16: vs. Jacksonville (home), Sunday, Dec 27 at 1 PM</strong><br /> The Saints welcome the Jacksonville Jaguars and second year starter Blake Bortles to the Super Dome. The Jaguars have made lots of positive strides since the start of the 2014 season, but they are a year or two away from being considered a legitimate threat. Drew Brees and the Saints should have a field day with Bortles and his mewling crew.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 8-7</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Week 17: vs. Atlanta (road), Sunday, Jan 3 at 1 PM</strong><br /> The Saints close the season on the road in Atlanta. Given it's a divisional rivalry and a lot could be at stake in this game, it could go either way. Drew Brees and the Saints crumbled under the pressure last season, particularly down the stretch. What's more, they lost both games to the Falcons 37-34 in OT in week 1 NFL betting (road) and 30-14 in week 16 NFL betting (home). This should be another close affair that could go either way.</p> <p><strong>NFL Picks: Win<br /> Record: 8-8</strong></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>NFL Betting Verdict</strong><br /> By our NFL predictions, we have the New Orleans Saints finishing the season with an 8-8 record but in theory they could go anywhere between a low of 7-9 and a high of 10-6, give or take a few of the tossups mentioned above. Vegas Odds makers are trading the Saints on 8.5 wins for the season with both the OVER and UNDER matched at -115 <a href="" target="_blank" title="Compare NFL odds trading in the market now">NFL odds</a>. Push comes to shove, we're going with the UNDER 8.5 at -115.</p>
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