NFL Picks: MVP Prop Odds

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, July 2, 2014 2:53 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 2, 2014 2:53 PM UTC

Peyton Manning ran away with the NFL MVP Odds last season, and received all but one of the votes for MVP. This season at Bet365, Manning is a heavy favorite to win the award again, but there are others with huge value as well.

This season Manning is sitting at +200 in the NFL Odds, far above the next highest favorite at +750. However when you set the single season record for touchdowns and passing yards you should be a heavy favorite. Although most don’t suspect Manning to repeat such a performance, he could still easily win the MVP. However here are three of my favorite plays for the MVP not named Manning.

Aaron Rodgers (+750)
The next highest favorite at Bet365 is Aaron Rodgers, and I see him as the best bet right now. I was high on the Packers last season and if wasn’t for Rodgers getting injured, they would have put up more of a fight in the playoffs. This season Rodgers is healthy, he has a seasoned running back behind him, and his offense is still one of the best in the NFC. Even though they lost James Jones, the presence of Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb will be enough for Rodgers. I see the Packers as a 10 or 11 win team this season, and if that’s the case, they could threaten for a first round bye, and a deep run into the playoffs. As much as this disappoints me to say, it seems like Rodgers is a really good MVP NFL Pick right now.

 Andrew Luck (+2800)
These next two plays are a lot bigger underdogs, however both could have tremendous value if their respective teams come to play this season. Andrew Luck should have no problem leading his team into the playoffs in a weak AFC South, and if they can perform well during the regular season, Luck’s chances to win the award are better than 28/1. The Colts could have a very dynamic offense if Reggie Wayne recovers well from his ACL injury. Along with the dynamic TY Hilton, the Colts have added Hakeem Nicks as well this offseason. If that trio performs, and Trent Richardson comes back around, who knows how well this offense could perform under Luck’s third season. I’m as high on Luck as I am Rodgers as a contrarian play to Manning.

LeSean McCoy (+2800)
Priced in the same as Luck is LeSean McCoy, who had his best statistical season a year ago under Chip Kelly, and even though I’m not as high on the Eagles as some are this year, McCoy has the ability as a running back to win the award. He had over 200 all purpose yards a season ago, and looks like the best back in football right now. I’m expecting the Eagles’ passing game to regress some this season, but if that happens and the Eagles’ win column doesn’t decline from last season, it will be on the shoulders of McCoy. If he were to get close to 2000 rushing yards and another 500 receiving yards, it would put him well within the discussion, especially if the Eagles have another 10 wins this season.

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