After going 5-1 yesterday in my Week 7 prop picks, I am back once again to close out with Monday Night Football. There are some nice NFL Odds from bet365 for this game, and here are my three best bets tonight in the prop odds. Add these to your NFL Picks to shake things up.
O/U 3.5 FGs
Tonight’s Steelers and Texans game should be a pretty good game. The Steelers have had their issues this season, but their defense has been playing ok, and while they have lost and struggles against some inferior team, it may just be early season lulls. However one thing they have consistently struggled with this year is their red zone conversion. The Steelers are 31st in the NFL this season in red zone conversion, and in their last three games they have been even worse than their season average. Pittsburgh has converted only 30% of their red zone chances in their last three games, and if that continues against the Texans defense, there should be a ton of field goals kicked in this one. The Texans are also ranked in the bottom half of the league in red zone conversion, and with Randy Bullock and Shaun Suisham on the field, I could see both of them getting multiple field goals tonight.
My Pick: OVER 3.5 FGs
Le’Veon Bell TD Scored
Le’Veon Bell hasn’t had many touchdown chances this season because of the Steelers’ leach, LeGarrette Blount. However Blount is averaging only about 3.5 yards per carry over his last two games, and he hasn’t gotten into the end zone since Week 3. Bell on the other hand hasn’t gotten into the end zone since Week 1, but he is also averaging 5.2 yards per carry, and he obviously deserves more touches in the red zone. I think the Steelers might give him a chance tonight, and the NFL Odds from bet365 agrees with me. Bell’s NFL Odds to score a touchdown tonight are -125, and that is a ton of chalk for a guy who hasn’t scored in six weeks. Against the Texans who have given up five touchdowns to running backs this season, I think Bell could find the end zone.
My Pick: Bell TD Scored (-125)
Team to score first
The Steelers are solid favorites in this game, however there is a growing number of people who think the Texans could win this game. If they can get out to an early lead they may have a chance, and one thing that could help that is scoring first. At +100, the Texans scoring first have some solid NFL Odds value. The Steelers have failed to score first in four of their last five games, and even though they scored first against the Browns, they ended up getting beat down in that game. The Texans’ run and pass games are playing much better recently, and even though they are on the road, I see the Texans scoring first tonight and cashing this prop for your NFL Picks.
My Pick: Texans (+100)