It’s been a rough week of NFL Odds, as we barely missed cashing two winners yesterday, one by just two rushing yards. I am back to give you just that on the Monday Night Football battle between the Panthers and Redskins.
Greg Olsen O/U 54.5 Receiving Yards
Greg Olsen has taken the brunt of Cam Newton’s struggles this season and while Newton’s struggles may continue tonight, Olsen should be one of the ones who can shake off a bad performance from his QB.
Last week Olsen recorded 87 yards on just four catches thanks in large part to a big 36-yard reception, but this week it’s an even better matchup for the Panthers’ tight end.
In a game that could feature a ton of Newton throwing the ball, I expect Olsen to get back to seeing closer to double-digit targets. The biggest reason for this could be the Redskins’ poor defense across the middle of the field.
Washington has allowed 921 yards opposing tight ends this season, which ranks as the second most allowed only to the Bengals. While they have allowed only four touchdowns to tight ends this season, their yards allowed is screaming for Olsen and the over here. Despite his struggles, the Skins have been setting precedence with their defense against tight ends.
Last week the Skins allowed 184 yards to opposing tight ends, including 112 to Zach Ertz alone. Considering that’s the third time in six weeks that the Skins have allowed at least 100 yards to tight end(s), I see 55 or more from Olsen.
Free NFL Pick: Over 54 ½ (-125)
Best Line Offered: at Bovada
Cam Newton O/U 30 ½ rushing yards
Cam Newton has taken less rushing attempts this season and it has coincided with the Panthers losing a lot more. They won last week despite Newton not playing well, but this week against a weaker defense I see Newton running a lot more.
While the Panthers are out of contention this season, Newton can still impact this game with his legs. The Panthers are 3-3 in games where Newton has at least 30 rushing yards, but in games where he averages over six yards per carry, they are 2-1. He has not done that since Week 7, but this week against the Skins creates a great opportunity for Newton on the ground.
The Skins have allowed quarterbacks to rush for more than 5.1 yards per carry and three touchdowns this season, the three scores being the most rushing scores allowed to quarterbacks of any team. In a game that could feature the Panthers passing a lot; that could also mean plays break down, forcing Newton to take off.