NFL Picks: Monday Night Football Prop Betting Odds

Jordan Sharp

Monday, October 28, 2013 12:18 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 28, 2013 12:18 PM UTC

We share our favorite prop betting options for the Monday Night Football matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and the St. Louis Rams. Which odds look to offer the most promise for our NFL picks tonight?

Monday Night Football is upon us and that means Week 8 of the NFL regular season is almost over. We had a solid week, so let’s finish it off with a bang, as I am here to release my final two plays for the halfway point of the season. Both of these NFL Odds are courtesy of Bet365 sportsbook.

NFL Picks: Seahawks vs. Rams Betting the Spread

TD Scorer

Although he only has one touchdown so far this season, Golden Tate is starting to emerge as one of the better receiving targets that Russell Wilson has at his disposal. This week against the Rams, I see Tate’s touchdown numbers doubling, and at +120 from Bet365, I think the value is there. Tate is starting to get more red zone looks from Wilson, and since there will once again be no Percy Harvin in this game, Russell Wilson will be looking for Tate a lot.

St. Louis so far through seven games have given up 9 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers, and even with Sidney Rice playing well this season, Tate and Rice both have the same amount of red zone targets this season (4). Even with Zach Miller leading the team in red zone looks, I doubt he gets off very much in this game (see the prop below). Marshawn Lynch is going to get first crack at almost every red zone carry in this one, but if the Rams are selling out to stop Lynch, Tate will be the next scoring option for Wilson and the Seahawks in this game, making this an easy bet for our NFL picks.

My Pick: Golden Tate TD Scored (+120)

Read our preview & report for the Monday Night Football Opening Odds.

Zach Miller (35.5 receiving yards)

Even though Miller has become almost only a red zone threat, NFL odds markets are offering a receiving yards total of 35.5 in this game, and I think the under has some value. 35.5 yards may seem small, but Miller has been banged up this season, and has only played in five games. He made his return on Thursday night of last week, and for only the 2nd time in his five games played this season, he eclipsed 35 yards receiving.

This week going into St. Louis, getting above 35 yards for Miller is going to be a challenge. The Rams are very good against opposing tight ends, and they have shut down much better tight ends than Miller so far this season. The Rams are giving up an average of only around 40 yards receiving per game to tight ends, and St. Louis has shut down a lot better tight ends than Miller so far this season.

Earlier in the year, Vernon Davis only amassed 18 yards in a game against St. Louis, and Tony Gonzalez had a game of barely over 30 yards receiving against the Rams. While St. Louis has been awful against the run and opposing wide receivers, they have been able to hold down the guys crossing over the middle of the field. Jason Witten has been the only tight end to really hurt the Rams this season, and he had only 67 yards receiving in the Cowboys’ blowout against St. Louis.

I don’t see Miller having a great game here, and that’s why I like the under. St. Louis will play good defense against him, and it’s likely that Lynch gets most of the short yardage work in this game. Take the under.

My Pick: Zach Miller ‘Under’ 35.5 receiving yards (-120)

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