NFL Picks: Minnesota Vikings Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Friday, August 21, 2015 3:39 PM GMT

The Vikings are a popular darkhorse pick to make the playoffs after going 7-9 without Adrian Peterson in 2014 with then rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater at the helm.  

 

The 2015 NFL regular season is almost here as Kickoff Weekend begins Thursday night, September 10th, but before we get to that opener, we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks. Today we are profiling the Minnesota Vikings, who finished 7-9 in 2014 and in third place in the NFC North.

 

To begin, here is a summary of the Minnesota betting statistics over the past five seasons. Take note that all of these statistics are for regular season games only.

 

Minnesota Vikings Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  20-18-2    19-19-2    39-37-4  
ATS Favorite  8-12-1  1-4  9-16-1
ATS Underdog  11-6-1  18-15-2  29-21-3
Avg. Margin  -0.3  -6.0  -3.2
Over – Under  24-16  18-22  42-38
Avg. Total Score    47.3  44.8  46.1

 

The Vikings have been at their best in a home underdog role the last five years going 64.7 percent ATS in that circumstance over 17 decisions. However, they have been at their worst when giving points at any venue, going 36.0 percent ATS as favorites overall, and they may be favored in more games than usual this year. Also, Minnesota has been a good ‘over’ bet at home at 60.0 percent.
Key Trend: Minnesota is 5-15, 25.0 percent ATS in conference games when coming off of a straight up win.

Next we take a look at the Vikings’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Minnesota Vikings Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  20.3  20th  21.4  11th
Rushing  112.8  14th  121.8  24th
Yds. Per Rush    4.4  11th  4.3  24th
Passing  202.1  28th  222.9  9th
Yds Per Pass  6.3  26th  6.7  15th
Total Yards  314.9  26th  344.7  14th
Yds. Per Play  5.4  23rd  5.6  16th

 

The Vikings did not grade out that well offensively across the board last year, but the offense was much better once Teddy Bridgewater took over as the starting quarterback in a 41-28 win over the Atlanta Falcons. Also notice that Minnesota finished in the top half of the league in rushing despite being without Adrian Peterson for all but a relatively ineffective Week 1.

And now we move on by peeking at various Minnesota Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Minnesota Vikings NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +4700  +4009  +3300  +4600
NFC Conf. Odds  +2500  +1897  +1800  +2400
NFC North Odds  +700  +574  +600  +675
Win Total  7½ ov-150    7½ ov-175  7½ ov-200    7½ ov-150  

 

There seems to be good reason for optimism surrounding the Vikings this year with Bridgewater only expected to improve over a very promising rookie campaign, Peterson back to lead the running game and improvement expected on defense. Is it any wonder the ‘over’ 7½ win total has hit -200 at some spots?

 

Minnesota Vikings Key Additions
Besides Peterson returning, which is almost an addition, the offense added some veterans in running back DuJuan Harris and wide receiver Mike Wallace, who could flourish after being a bust for the Miami Dolphins. And the defense should improve with the addition of three veterans in linebacker Casey Matthews, cornerback Terence Newman and safety Taylor Mays, as well as the first two picks in the draft, cornerback Trae Waynes and linebacker Eric Kendricks.

Minnesota Vikings Key Losses
Just about the only relevant starter the Vikings lost was wide receiver Greg Jennings, who was a bust in Minnesota anyway. The Vikings also lost some back-ups in quarterbacks Matt Cassel and Christian Ponder, as well as fullback Jerome Felton.