NFL Picks: Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts

David Lawrence

Wednesday, September 11, 2013 6:47 PM GMT

Wednesday, Sep. 11, 2013 6:47 PM GMT

Neither the Miami Dolphins nor the Indianapolis Colts were very impressive in week one, despite registering wins. Which team will make more improvements in week two?

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts

Odds: Colts -2.5

The Dolphins can win because…

They will be able to win without scoring a lot of points. Indianapolis’ offense remains the inconsistent presence it was last season. The Colts began their 2013 season with a win, but they won in a manner that was all too reminiscent of 2012. Indianapolis struggled markedly on offense for three quarters and failed to gain any real scoreboard separation from its opponent. People who added Indy to their sports picks (especially those in suicide pools) with the expectation that they’d roll were very surprised. The Colts needed a big drive from quarterback Andrew Luck and a late defensive stand to hold off an Oakland Raider club that isn’t expected to do much of anything this season. The Colts’ penchant for playing so many games on the ledge between victory and defeat is going to catch up with them sooner rather than later. This is just not sustainable over multiple seasons. It can work in one season – the Colts made it work for them in 2012 – but it just isn’t likely to continue for very long. Either the Colts are going to pick up their level of play or, more likely, they’re going to learn some hard lessons early in the season. Luck is obviously a gifted quarterback, but he is requiring a lot of time to become a smoother, more seamless player with fewer holes in his playing style. The Dolphins’ defense straitjacketed Cleveland last week on the road, so there’s no doubt that Miami can do the deed once again in Indianapolis, holding the Colts to 17 or fewer points and setting the table for a 20-17 kind of win.

Be sure to check out my NFL picks on the Kansas City Chiefs & Dallas Cowboys!~

The Colts can win because…

Their opponent does not show signs of being able to produce enough offense to win this game. Miami’s offense is being remade this season, and the organization tried to surround second-year quarterback Ryan Tannehill with the component parts that could enable him to be much more successful. However, when tight end Dustin Keller got injured for the entirety of the regular season during the NFL preseason in August, Tannehill lost that crucial piece he hoped to have on third and five or similar situations. It’s true that Miami acquired receiver Mike Wallace in free agency, getting the deep threat it coveted, but the absence of Keller limited the Dolphins in week one against Cleveland. In that win, Miami’s offense benefited from the team’s defense and its ability to generate turnovers. The offense was uneven and was far from the consistent, polished product head coach Joe Philbin hoped it would be. Indianapolis has a lot of issues to deal with on offense, but its quarterback, Andrew Luck, is far better than Cleveland’s Brandon Weeden. If Miami plays the same way it did on offense against Cleveland, it will lose to Indianapolis.

 

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Outlook & NFL Football Betting Prediction

People who make their NFL picks know that the Colts have their weaknesses but Miami’s weaknesses appear to be more profound at the moment. This is not so much a bet on the NFL odds that Indianapolis will go to 2-0. This is more a bet against the idea that Miami will go 2-0.

NFL Pick: Indianapolis -2.5 at Bet 365

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