NFL Picks: Miami Dolphins NFL Futures Betting

Jordan Sharp

Monday, April 29, 2013 7:04 PM GMT

Monday, Apr. 29, 2013 7:04 PM GMT

As one of the most improved teams so far in the offseason, the Dolphins have been making big strides on their quest to get back to the playoffs. Where have the NFL odds makers priced them this year, and will they live up to expectations?

 

Books with the best prices on 2013-14 NFL Futures



The Dolphins’ futures NFL odds have been moving ever since free agency, and the draft helped that a lot too. I don’t think anyone is picking them to win the division, but an outside shot at the playoffs in a bad AFC conference this season is not out of the realm of possibility. Let’s take an updated look at the Dolphins future odds, and we’ll see if we think they are priced correctly.

For more of our thoughts on this year's future odds check out our NFL picks page.

Super Bowl (+4000)

Like I said, this team is a work in progress, and it might take another year after this one before the Dolphins are Super Bowl contenders, if they are at all. The groundwork is being laid this offseason, and now it is up to Joe Philbin to put it all together. I have faith in the Dolphins this season, but not in the future odds, however I do think they can make a run at the playoffs. For their odds to win the Super Bowl, they have dropped from closer to 60/1 since they opened several months ago, and I could see them going even lower as the offseason goes on. However, I don’t see them getting past +3500 before the season starts. That would put them right in the middle of the pack. 

AFC (+1800)

This number might be slightly off, as I have them priced at around +2000 to win the AFC, but our friends at bet365 have them tied with the Colts and Chargers for 7th best in the AFC. That does mean a playoff berth is not out of the question. However once again I’m selling on the Dolphins here. Maybe next year they will be worth a look in the future odds, but not this time. I do think they will have some excellent value game to game once the pre and regular season roll around. Potential first two game road wins against the Browns and Colts seem like they have a shot. The Dolphins are currently a -1 ½ favorite in Cleveland to start the season in the "very" early NFL Odds. 

My Take

If Ryan Tannehill can avoid the every unpopular sophomore slump, this team has the ability to make a run at a winning record this season. Their schedule is not great, but it isn’t bad either, and even though they are in the NFL's AFC East Division, there are two teams that are awful for every one Patriots. I’ll say the Dolphins should sneak into a wildcard spot. 

The signing of Mike Wallace is huge for this team. With Reggie Bush gone, the Dolphins’ main weakness will now be their running game, as the reigns are now handed to an oft-injured Daniel Thomas, (assuming the Dolphins match any offer sheet he gets) and a handful of young running backs. Can they make something out of nothing in Miami, and give the fans down there something else to be happy about besides the Miami Heat and the weather?
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