NFL Picks: Jets vs. Bills

Joe Freda

Tuesday, November 12, 2013 11:24 PM GMT

The Buffalo Bills logged their third straight defeat in last week’s 23-10 loss as three-point road dogs to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Sunday’s NFL betting has Doug Marrone’s crew looking to end its slide, hosting the New York Jets.

Bills, Manuel fall in Pittsburgh

Bills quarterback E.J. Manuel returned to action in last Sunday’s matchup, connecting 22-of-39 passes for 155 yards. The rookie found tight end Chris Gragg for a late touchdown, while guiding his offense to 16 first downs in its 25 minutes of possession.

Buffalo’s Jarius Byrd grabbed his season’s first interception, while he and his mates gave up 300 total yards. Bills linebacker Jerry Hughes registered two of his side’s four sacks, while Kiko Alonso notched a team-high six tackles.

The battle’s combined 33 points dipped beneath the ‘total’ of 42 ½, moving the UNDER to 2-0 in the Bills’ latest pair of duels. Buffalo allowed two touchdowns in the Steelers’ five red zone trips, while Bills punter Brian Moorman made a season-high nine appearances (36.9 YPP).

Jets, Ivory hold off Saints

New York returns from its bye week, following a 26-20 victory on Nov. 3 against the New Orleans Saints. The Jets reeled off a 20-7 scoring run through the final three quarters, cashing as six-point home underdogs.

New York’s Chris Ivory dashed for a season-high 139 yards out of the backfield, topping the century mark for the second time in three games. Jets quarterback Geno Smith was held to 115 yards through the air, while he and Ivory rushed for one touchdown each.

The Jets’ defense picked off New Orleans’ Drew Brees on two occasions, while mates Muhammad Wilkerson and Calvin Pace recorded one sack each. OVER backers collected by a ‘hook,’ with the matchup’s 46 points stretching above the closing ‘total’ of 45 ½.

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Back the Bills at home

Bet365 opened the NFL odds for Buffalo as a one-point home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at 41. Early wagers on the Bills and OVER lifted the digits to 1 ½ and 41 ½, respectively.

I am also adding Buffalo to my week’s card of NFL picks, laying the short number.

The Bills have cashed at 4-1 ATS in their five home contests, with the sole losing ticket coming against the Kansas City Chiefs in an affair filled with costly turnovers. Buffalo also ranks 7th in the league for rushing (140.7 YPG), while E.J. Manuel threw for a sizable 243 yards against the Jets, two months ago.

Buffalo had their duel with Jets tied, 20-20, in the fourth quarter – giving up a deciding 69-yard touchdown catch to New York’s Santonio Holmes. The Bills look for revenge here, while hoping to add another cashed ticket at home to last December’s 28-9 triumph over their rivals as 3 ½-point ‘chalk.’

New York is 1-2 ATS in its three contests against AFC foes on the road, including last month’s 49-9 setback against the Cincinnati Bengals. Look for the Jets to be inconsistent again here, giving Buffalo its share of chances to end its losing streak.