NFL odds for this game favor the Jets at -2.5, with a total of 39 points. Will one of the quarterbacks on these rosters step up and grab the starting job in this match, or will it be a sorry excuse for a football game? Is either team worth your NFL picks?
It wasn’t pretty for either of these teams last week. The Jags started off their tenure with Gus Bradley with a loss to the Dolphins 27-3. Blaine Gabbert only mustered a couple of first downs in the entire first quarter. He went a horrible 5-10 with 19 yards and an interception. Chad Henne didn’t look bad, but he didn’t look great either going 8-11 with 87 yards. His first drive was nice leading the Jags to their only score of the game, but he then went three and out in his next two series before halftime.
For the Jets, their quarterback situation is even shakier. Mark Sanchez ceremoniously started off the season like only Sanchez knows how, throwing an interception on the Jets’ first drive. He did finish off his day with a touchdown pass to end the first quarter, and he finished his work for the day going 10-13 with 125 yards, a touchdown and an interception.
Geno Smith hurt his ankle slightly during his tryout in Week 1, however didn’t look good or bad going 6-7 with 47 yards passing before getting hurt. The Jets also couldn’t run the ball worth a damn in Week 1 against the Lions. They had 16 carries for only 37 yards; however Chris Ivory is back at practice for the Jets and will likely see a few carries in this game.
Both of these teams were awful on offense last season and I see it continuing this year and in this game. The total of 39 points to me looks like an easy ‘Under’ bet, even though the ‘Over’ was the bet of Week 1 going 11-5. These two teams only put up a combined total of 10 first half points in their Week 1 games, and with not one, but two quarterback battles going on with these teams, that is not going to lead to very much offense on either side.
On top of the horrific offensive show we’re about to be subjected to with this game, these two defenses are getting better, and with two defensive minded head coaches, I think that will be where their focus lies here in Week 2.
The Sharp Pick
Rex Ryan doesn’t have a great preseason record overall at 7-10 ATS in his tenure with the Jets. However, if you take away his awful performances in Week 1 where he is now 0-5 SU, his ATS record looks a lot better in the weeks following Week 1 of the preseason.
While we don’t know much about Gus Bradley yet, I can guess that since both of these defensive coaches gave up a ton of points last week, they will try and real that in this week. On top of the quarterback battle going on, this game likely won’t get out of the teens in scoring. 39 points in the NFL odds is way too high for these offenses that could probably get shut down by some SEC schools. I’m on the ‘Under’ for my sports picks in this encounter.
(May have to buy a half-point, so shop around for the best line.)
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