NFL Picks: Jaguars vs. Browns NFL Week 13

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, November 27, 2013 3:08 PM GMT

The Jaguars have won two of their last three. Can they keep this turnaround going when they pay a visit to Cleveland? 

Odds Overview

Coming in, Cleveland is favored by a touchdown at most of the sportsbooks. The Browns are 4-7 SU and 5-6 ATS and the visiting Jaguars are 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS.

Depending on the site, the O/U is at 40.5 or 41 points, with the OVER hitting at a 6-5 mark for both teams' collective games on the season.

More NFL betting lines can be found at the SBRodds.com!

Jacksonville Jaguars

Credit the Jaguars for not folding completely. They've shown new life over the past few weeks, beating Tennessee and Houston on the road.

Last week Jacksonville dominated Case Keenum and the Texans, holding them to 218 total yards of offense. Keenum was 18-of-34 for 169 yards and an interception and the Jaguars never let him get comfortable. No matter how many problems Houston is having, holding them without a touchdown at home is an impressive feat.

Offensively, Chad Henne was 23-of-32 for 239 yards, with eight receptions being caught by Cecil Shorts for a game-leading 71 yards. Ace Sanders added 61 receiving yards. Maurice Jones-Drew totaled 144 yards and a touchdown in a great all-around effort.

That's not to say all is well in the Jacksonville camp. The Jaguars are still dead last in the NFL in total offense, while they rank #24 in total defense.

Still, if Jacksonville can replicate the defensive effort they put in against Houston this week, they'll be right in the thick of things against the Browns.

Cleveland Browns

After a 21-point road loss in Cincinnati, the Browns fared no better at home this past weekend, losing 27-11 to Pittsburgh as 2.5-point favorites.

Cleveland just couldn't get anything going and Jason Campbell's concussion didn't really help matters. He was 14-of-22 for 124 yards before going down.

His replacement, Brandon Weeden, was terrible, completing only 13-of-30 passes for 209 yards (most of which were in garbage time) and a touchdown. He was picked off once and also lost a fumble in the defeat.

It looks like Weeden will be the starter this weekend. In his career, the former Oklahoma State quarterback has gone 5-14 in the starting role. He has more interceptions (seven) than touchdown passes (six) so far.

About the only highlight for Cleveland lately has been Josh Gordon, who continues to torch secondaries week in and week out. He's already 12 yards away from eclipsing the 1,000 mark and is coming off a 237-yard day against the Steelers.

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NFL Pick

We get the Browns are at home and have two more wins than the Jaguars, but do they really deserve to favored by seven points in this NFL betting matchup?

Not in our opinion. Jacksonville is the play here, as their two wins have actually come on the road. Plus, Cleveland is having all sorts of trouble at quarterback and Weeden instills little to no confidence for us. He's proven nothing in the league so far and it's not going to take long before the Browns faithful turns on him if he struggles out of the gate.

With that said, our favorite NFL pick in this snooze-fest of a game is to take the points and back a Jacksonville cover.

Free Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +7