NFL Picks: Jacksonville Jaguars Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Tuesday, August 4, 2015 5:07 PM GMT

Each day until the start of the 2015 NFL season, LT Profits will provide a team profile that can be referred to when making NFL picks. Today they look at the Jacksonville Jaguars.

 


The 2015 NFL season begins Thursday night, September 10th, but before we get to Kickoff Weekend we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks. Today we are profiling the Jacksonville Jaguars, who finished 3-13 in 2014 and in third place in the AFC South.

First, here is a summary of the Jacksonville betting statistics over the past five seasons. Note that all of these stats are for regular season games only.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  15-24-1     19-19-2    34-43-3  
ATS Favorite  6-2  1-0  7-2
ATS Underdog  9-22-1  18-19-2  27-41-3
Avg. Margin  -8.4  -9.3  -8.8
Over – Under  16-24  23-16-1  39-40-1
Avg. Total Score    40.8  44.3  42.5

 

The Jaguars have been simply abysmal as home underdogs the last five seasons, a role where most other teams hold their own, with Jacksonville going just 29.0 percent ATS in this circumstance. Surprisingly though, although the sample size is small, the Jaguars have gone 7-2, 77.8 percent as favorites. Also note the ‘under’ is 60.0 percent in Jacksonville home games while it is the ‘over’ that is 59.0 percent on the road.
Key Trend: Jacksonville is 4-13-1, 23.5 percent ATS at home when coming off of an ATS loss.

Next let us take a look at the Jaguars’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.

 

2014 Jacksonville Jaguars Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  15.6  32nd  25.7  26th
Rushing  102.1  21st  127.3  28th
Yds. Per Rush    4.5  6th  4.1  12th
Passing  187.5  31st  243.4  20th
Yds Per Pass  5.4  31st  7.2  24th
Total Yards  289.6  31st  370.7  26th
Yds. Per Play  5.0  31st  5.7  22nd

 

Jacksonville finished in the bottom two of the NFL in points scored, passing offense and total offense, as well as an identical 26th in points against and total defense, so is it any wonder the Jaguars won just three games last year? The few highlights of an otherwise dismal season were the NFL debut of quarterback Blake Bortles and the biggest comeback in franchise history when the Jaguars overcame a 21-0 deficit to beat the New York Giants 25-24 in Week 13.

Now we take a peek at various Jacksonville Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.

 

2015 Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +40000  +26500  +20000  +40000
AFC Conf. Odds  +9500  +9500  +10000  +9400
AFC South Odds  +2450  +2505  +1600  +2400
Win Total  5½ ov-145    5½ ov-145  5½ ov-145    5½ ov-145  

 

In case you were wondering, yes the Jaguars are either the longest shots to win the Super Bowl in the NFL this year or are tied for the longest shots across the board. However, Jacksonville has a chance to be improved this season with a better offense and a defense that also has some upside. Unfortunately, that improvement may not translate to too many more wins.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars Key Additions
The Jaguars made some nice veteran additions in tight end Julius Thomas, running back Bernard Pierce, tackle Jermey Parnell and center Stefen Wisniewski. They also improved that offensive line further with the selection of guard A.J. Cann in the draft, which came after the selection of a possible franchise running back in T.J. Yeldon.

The bad news is that the first round draft pick, rush linebacker Dante Fowler is already out for the season with a torn ACL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Key Losses
The biggest loss for the Jaguars was on the defensive side in defensive tackle Red Bryant, who was effective at a position where Jacksonville was and still is lacking in quality depth.