NFL Picks: Inept Offenses Have us Leaning Under for Ravens vs. 49ers

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, October 13, 2015 7:00 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 13, 2015 7:00 PM GMT

The Ravens are reeling with their first 1-4 mark in franchise history while the Niners showed life last week in a loss to the Giants. Let’s review what the NFL odds makers are offering.

Ravens No Longer About Defense
Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are not walking through that locker room door people. This is no longer a punishing defensive wrecking crew that struck fear into the hearts of opposing quarterbacks and made every receiver pay when they caught a pass over the middle or otherwise. This edition of the Baltimore Ravens ranks low on the proverbial totem pole allowing an average of 27.4 points per game ranking them 25th in the league while landing in the identical spot for passing yards surrendering 280 on average. Their rush defense is a middling 14th in the league allowing 100.4 per game. All in all these Ravens simply bear no resemblance to their Super Bowl predecessors except for the man under center Joe Flacco.

 

Niners Get Offensive
Colin Kaepernick’s impending demise has been greatly exaggerated – at least for one week. Kaepernick finally came to life in last week’s 30-27 road loss in New York after a season riddled with poor decisions and ill-timed passes. After scoring a combined total of 10 points against Arizona and Green Bay Kaepernick kept his team in the game with a pair of passing TD’s and 262 yards through the air and 23 yards on the ground on three carries. It was the most points scored for the team this season yet they still rank dead last in points scored averaging a scant 15 points per game and are 31st in passing yards with 178.2 per contest.

 

Stats N’ Stuff
Including totals in your NFL picks can be dicey business but if you can hit a team just right and determine a matchup that will tip the balance either way then you can make a steady diet of feasting on the NFL odds that the offshore bookmakers are hanging. Below are some interesting stats to help us navigate the often treacherous waters of betting NFL totals.

Under is 4-1 in 49ers last five vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 7-1 in 49ers last eight games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 8-1 in 49ers last nine home games.

Under is 20-7 in the Ravens’ last 27 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Ravens last five games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

 

NFL Picks
Those stats above say a mouthful but numbers based on games from days gone by and on teams whose only resemblance to their predecessor’s is the name on the jersey do not often do a sports bettor justice. However in this instance we see a San Francisco club that has simply been horrendous at putting points on the board and despite their most recent and best effort we see the Ravens exploiting a porous Niners offensive line with a defensive front that is ranked 5th in the league in sacks. That will ensure plenty of punts from the home team.

Meanwhile the Ravens offense has Joe Flacco lowering the boom but no bona fide threats to target. Steve Smith Sr. is still ailing and Flacco will most likely be more comfortable handing the ball to Justin Forsett who gashed the Browns for 121 yards and a trip into the endzone last week. Despite two defenses that have not fared well this season they both have the luxury of facing offenses that are equally as inept.

NFL PIck: Play UNDER 44 at GTBets

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