The Colts are ranked pretty high in the Future NFL Odds, however will they be a threat to the big players in the AFC? Last season they showed signs of being close to elite, so will they permanently take that leap in 2014?
Super Bowl (+1600)
Last season around the beginning of the season, the Colts looked like a team that could threaten the Broncos for AFC dominance. It culminated with a Week 7 win against the Broncos, however the trade to bring in Trent Richardson didn’t have the immediate impact like the Colts had hoped, and Indianapolis faded away towards the end of the season. In 2014, things could actually blast off for the Colts if everything falls into place, however they are going to need a couple of players to really have huge bounce back seasons. On top of that their defense is going to need to step up this season. In 2013, the Colts’ gave up 7th most rushing yards per game in the NFL, and if that is improved to above average in 2014, the Colts may just make that leap into Super Bowl contenders from the AFC.
However in order to get a chance at winning a Super Bowl, Andrew Luck and the Colts will have to get past the Patriots and/or the Broncos, two teams that are going to be very difficult to beat, and two favorites for NFL picks. Both have gotten better since their AFC Title game appearances last season, and while the Colts have gotten better too, they have a lot more holes and questions surrounding them. If Luck can continue his development, that will be a start for Indy. Pep Hamilton has already said this offseason that he wants to break away from the “power running,” offense the Colts tried to run last season. That would mean the Colts might go back to airing it out more like in Luck’s rookie season, however they are going to need a healthy receiving core to do so. Reggie Wayne will be 36-years old by the time the playoffs roll around, and of course is coming off of an ACL injury, so that plays a major role in our sports picks consideration. TY Hilton and newly acquired Hakeem Nicks will be crucial as well, however as we saw last season, once Wayne went down, the Colts’ offense plummeted. If Wayne is healthy though, the Colts’ offensive upside goes up a lot.
AFC South (-160)
While they don’t have as much chalk in their NFL Odds to win their division as the Patriots or Broncos, the Colts may be as much of a lock to win their division this season as the big boys. However at -160 NFL odds from Bovada, the Colts have way more value than the Broncos or Patriots who are both around -300 to win theirs. The Texans, Titans and Jaguars are all three not even close to playoff contention, and even if the Texans have the turnaround that some think they’ll have this season, they still likely won’t be above .500. With that being said, a wager on the Colts to win this division right now is a really good value. If the Colts look really good in the preseason, this price might rise, so get in on the Colts now and buy low.