NFL Picks: Hunting Down Early Week 11 Betting Value

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, November 11, 2014 3:42 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2014 3:42 PM UTC

Join us in the hunt for value NFL picks in early NFL betting markets. We serve up the best SU, ATS and Total bets on week 11's NFL odds board that you should spot.

Week 11 Value NFL Picks Across the Board
The coming week serves up some tough matchups at face value, games that could potentially go either way. Happily, there are still a few that practically leap off the page as obvious bets; hence, NFL bettors should pounce on them while they still promise early NFL betting value.  


Best SU Pick: Chiefs to win at home over the Seahawks 
There are several matchups that would appear to be obvious SU picks on week 11's slate, not least of which are the Broncos over the Rams and the Chargers over the Raiders. The NFL odds on those games offer very little in the way of profit however, so w're going to be bolder with our NFL picks in this category and back the Chiefs over the Seahawks for the win in week 11 betting. Why? Well, two main reasons a) the Seahawks have left much to be desired this season on the road where they are just 1-2 SU with losses to the Chargers and Rams, and b) the Chiefs have a positive head-to-head record with the Seahawks, owning a 19-6 SU mark in their last 25 meetings. What's more, the Chiefs are 8-4 SU in their last 12 home games. If these auspicious NFL betting trends hold true, the Chiefs to win SU could prove the savvy NFL pick, if not the value NFL pick.

Free NFL Picks: Chiefs SU

Best ATS Pick: Steelers -5.0 over Titans
Although the Steelers are coming off a demoralising 20-13 road loss to the New York Jets, the NFL schedule serves up the perfect opportunity to bounce back against the Titans. Titans are one of the worst teams this season, wholly off form and colour. What's more, they seem to have no fighting spirit at all, rolling over to opponents without striking an audible chord. They are behind three straight defeats all while being  outscored 70-to-40, for an average of 10-points per game over this span. The Steelers, as the nominal 5-point road chalk, emerge as our top ATS NFL pick as a result. Last week, Big Ben and the Steelers had a letdown performance, which isn't overly surprising giving the explosive run they'd enjoyed at home over the last three weeks. The coming week should see a marked improvement over a relatively insignificant team in NFL betting.

Free NFL Picks: Steelers at  YouWager

Best Total Pick:  Rams vs. Broncos To Go OVER 50.5
Denver Broncos decimated the Oakland Raiders last week in a 41-17 win, contributing the bulk of the 49-point total set by odds makers in week 10 NFL betting. The Rams, meanwhile, slipped to their sixth loss of the season behind a 31-14 loss to the Cardinals, a game that also went OVER the predicated 43-point total in week 10. NFL betting trends reveal the last six Broncos games have gone OVER -- they are 7-2-0 over-under for the season. The Rams have deposited several plucky accounts lately, including an upset win over the Niners. Post season hopes are a Hail Mary right now, but they aren't playing like a team that hasn't a stake in the prestigious knockout rounds. On the contrary, they're battling still, particularly when they play up to better opponents. Overall, Rams are 5-4-0 in over-under betting. If they rise to the occasion, they'll give Peyton Manning and Company a run for their money on the totals. Other trends that point towards the OVER include Broncos'  offense that has outscored opponents 286-to-202; and Rams defense that has allowed a whopping 251 points to just 163 points in offense. Take the OVER 50.5 on your NFL picks.

Free NFL Picks: OVER 50.5

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