NFL Picks: Houston Texans Division NFL Futures Betting

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, May 2, 2013 8:27 PM GMT

Will Houston finally make it to a Super Bowl, or will they fade away early for another disappointing and underachieving season? Find out what the NFL odds makers are saying about their shots at a Super Bowl.

 


Books with the best prices on 2013-14 NFL Futures



Many consider the Texans (including the sportsbooks) to have one of the better chances at capturing an AFC crown this season. With the entire conference down this season, there should only be a few real obstacles to the Texans.

Check out the AFC South Future Odds to find out how the Browns stack up in their division.

Super Bowl (+1200) 

Houston seems pretty well prices here at 12/1 to win the Super Bowl. On paper their team is pretty good and could warrant an increase in their odd. However their past failures in the playoffs reflect in these NFL odds, and the Texans fall outside of the Top 5 favorites to win it all this season. Houston did do an adequate job of upgrading in the offseason, but will it be enough? They are almost certainly (barring about four or five major injuries) going to win the AFC South this season, but will being in an easy division hurt their chances at getting to a Super Bowl? 

AFC (+450)

While I think they are fairly priced to win the Super Bowl, I think the Texans might just be a bit undervalued in the AFC, which could bode well for a future odds bet, or a bet on them during the season. Both the Patriots and Broncos are around +300 to win the AFC, and there is little to no reason why the Texans shouldn’t be up there with them. They will surely have the best defense in the entire AFC this season, an as long as their big offensive weapons stay healthy, this team could very well cash as 9/2 to win the AFC. Let’s be honest, Peyton Manning and the Broncos are the favorites, but they have an inconsistent past when it comes to the playoffs, and Tom Brady hasn’t won a Super Bowl in almost ten years. In a down AFC this season, this could be the Texans’ best chance at a Super Bowl run. I would be willing to recommend a play on the Texans to win the AFC to your NFL picks

My Take 

There are still holes in this team, but as I said, they will have the best defense in the entire AFC, and their schedule is so that they could also get one of those first round byes. Of course they get to destroy the Jaguars and Titans four times this season, but their only tough road game is at San Francisco. The Texans have the 27th easiest strength of schedule, and the only sure-playoff team with an easier schedule on paper this season is the Broncos. 

Houston’s division odds will almost certainly be chalked up way too high to even take a look, but for them to be undervalued a little in the AFC future odds makes me believe they might be undervalued once the season rolls around. Houston has the ability to win 12 or more games this season, so will that be enough to get a bye in the playoffs to make our future odds bet more reliable? We will have to wait and see.