NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers Team Profile 2015

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, August 20, 2015 7:21 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 20, 2015 7:21 PM UTC

The Packers blew a 14-point lead in the final two minutes of the 2014 NFC Championship Game in Seattle, but they are one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl this season. 



The 2015 NFL season is all set to begin Thursday night, September 10th, but before we get to that Kickoff Weekend, we will be here presenting daily team profiles in an attempt to assist you with your NFL picks in advance of the opener. Today we are profiling the Green Bay Packers, who finished 12-4 in 2014 and in first place in the NFC North before reaching the NFC Championship Game and losing in overtime 28-22 to the Seahawks in Seattle.


For starters, here is a summary of the Green Bay betting statistics over the past five seasons. Take note that all of these statistics are for regular season games only.


Green Bay Packers Betting Stats, 2010 through 2014

   Home  Away  Overall
ATS Overall  25-14-1    19-21      44-35-1  
ATS Favorite  24-12-1  15-13  39-25-1
ATS Underdog  1-2  4-8  5-10
Avg. Margin  +3.5  +0.8  +7.2
Over – Under  26-14  19-21  45-35
Avg. Total Score    52.5  47.4  50.0


Few teams have been as reliable as the Packers in the favorite role the last five years as they are hitting at a 60.9 percent ATS rate when cast as chalk including 66.7 percent at home! Interestingly though, Green Bay has gone just 5-10 ATS as an underdog. The Packers have also been a great ‘over’ team at home at Lambeau Field at 65.0 percent.
Key Trend: Green Bay is 15-6, 71.4 percent ATS as a conference favorite when coming off of an ATS loss.

Now we take a look at the Packers’ statistical summary for the 2014 season.


2014 Green Bay Packers Team Statistics (Per Game)

   Offense    Off. Rank   Defense    Def. Rank 
Points  29.7  2nd  22.1  14th
Rushing  120.6  10th  125.4  26th
Yds. Per Rush    4.4  12th  4.4  27th
Passing  263.2  9th  222.0  7th
Yds Per Pass  7.8  2nd  6.5  11th
Total Yards  383.8  6th  347.4  15th
Yds. Per Play  6.3  2nd  5.6  12th


The Packers were second in the NFL in scoring in 2014 behind only the Super Bowl Champion New England Patriots, and they became the first team since 2009 to have a 4000-yard passer (league MVP Aaron Rodgers), two 1000-yard receivers (Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb) and a 1000-yard rusher (Eddie Lacy). Unfortunately the 12-4 season was tainted by blowing a 22-8 lead in the last two minutes vs. the Seahawks with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.

And now we peek at various Green Bay Future Odds for this 2015 season from several sportsbooks. You can view these and other future and prop odds on the Sportsbook Review Futures and Prop Bets Directory.


2015 Green Bay Packers NFL Futures

   5 Dimes  Bookmaker    Bovada  Heritage
Super Bowl Odds    +500  +543  +500  +450
NFC Conf. Odds  +320  +287  +300  +300
NFC North Odds  -300  -380  -300  -305
Win Total  11 ov-125    11 un-113  11 ov-125    11 ov-125  


The Packers are the second choice to win the Super Bowl behind only Seattle at most spots, with one notable exception being Bovada where Green Bay is the actual Super Bowl favorite! And with the ‘over’ mostly juiced on the already high Packer win total of 11, another 12-win season appears to be on the horizon, especially with Green Bay being an odds-on favorite to win the NFC North.


Green Bay Packers Key Additions
The Packers really made no veteran additions to speak of, but they did have two nice draft picks in speedy wide receiver Ty Montgomery, who may also serve as a primary kick returner, and linebacker Jake Ryan, who could take over as the inside linebacker, thus allowing Ryan Matthew to move back to outside linebacker where he can play more to his strength by rushing the quarterback more.

Green Bay Packers Key Losses
The Green Bay offense should be as good as last year as the only notable departures were all backups in quarterback Matt Flynn, running back DuJuan Harris and wide receiver Jarrett Boykin. The defense took more of a hit though with the losses of linebacker A.J. Hawk and cornerbacks Tramon Williams and Davon House.

comment here