NFL Picks: Green Bay Packers Season Win Totals & Futures Odds

Nikki Adams

Saturday, May 16, 2015 8:40 PM GMT

Saturday, May. 16, 2015 8:40 PM GMT

The Green Bay Packers Win Totals are up on the NFL odds board and they're in double-digit range. Will the Packers deliver on these high expectations? We weigh in the win totals and the early NFL futures odds.

Green Bay Packers Second Faves Overall
The Green Bay Packers have emerged as the second overall favorites in Super Bowl 50 betting markets, priced at +650 to win outright (Table 1). They are also tipped for 11 wins on the season (Table 3), just as the top NFC faves Seattle Seahawks.

The NFL 2015-2016 season may be four months away, but NFL bettors and pundits alike are keen start speculating. So where do the Packers fall in the minds of NFL bettors?

Nobody that followed the Green Bay Packers last season can be surprised about their market evaluation for the coming season. They had a standout regular season and Aaron Rodgers delivered a heroic run in the NFL playoffs. Arguably, the most memorable account was the NFC Championship game that they very nearly won to reach Super Bowl 49, only for the Seahawks to rally in the dying minutes and snatch the victory away from them.

That the Packers edge the Patriots on the NFL odds board though is by principle mainly. A recent development after the long-awaited Ted Wells report was released, in which the finger points almost singularly in Tom Brady's direction for the Deflategate Scandal that rocked the NFL playoffs last season. Roger Goodell delivered his judgement this week, suspending Tom Brady for 4 games - maybe less if he wins an appeal.

 

Table 1: Super Bowl 50 Odds To Win Outright (Odds Courtesy of Bet365

Seattle Seahawks +450
Green Bay Packers +650
New England Patriots +800
Indianapolis Colts +1000
Denver Broncos +1200
Dallas Cowboys +1800
Philadelphia Eagles +1800
Baltimore Ravens +2200
Pittsburgh Steelers +2500
Kansas City Chiefs +2800
Arizona Cardinals +2800
Miami Dolphins +2800
Cincinnati Bengals +3000
New York Giants +3000
San Diego Chargers +3300
Detroit Lions +3300
Carolina Panthers +3300
Buffalo Bills +3300
New Orleans Saints +4000
St. Louis Rams +4000
San Francisco 49ers  +4000
Atlanta Falcons +4000
Minnesota Vikings +4000
Chicago Bears +4000
Houston Texans +5000
New York Jets +6600
Cleveland Browns +8000
Washington Redskins +15000
Tennessee Titans +15000
Oakland Raiders +17500
Jacksonville Jaguars +17500

 

2014-2015 In Review
The Green Bay Packers clinched the NFC North behind a 12-4-0 SU mark, which included a formidable 8-0 SU record at home. On the road, they were simply modest with a 4-4 SU record. That said, they did their part where it counted most by going 5-1 SU in their division and 9-3 SU in their Conference.

Last year, the Packers entered the season as one of several contenders but not as high as they are currently being assessed. Tale told, they were minutes away from reaching the Super Bowl, only to drop the ball and allow Seattle Seahawks to mastermind the improbable comeback and win the game. The most impressive aspect about their run was the fact that Aaron Rodgers wasn't 100% fit, yet they still got to within a win of the ultimate game in the NFL.

Predictably, the Packers enter as the team to beat in the NFC North on -275 NFL odds. The Detroit Lions were the only side that managed to give them a run for their money down the stretch, but they are currently trading at +450 NFL odds. The Vikings showed a lot of promise behind Teddy Bridgewater while the Chicago Bears are in full revamp mode after their miserable season.

 

Conference Division Odds: 

NFL Conference Division Odds: NFC East

Dallas Cowboys +150
Philadelphia Eagles +150
NY Giants +333
Washington Redskins +1200

 

NFL Conference Division Odds: NFC North

Green Bay Packers -275
Detroit Lions +450
Minnesota Vikings +900
Chicago Bears +1000

 

NFL Conference Division Odds: NFC South

New Orleans Saints +200
Carolina Panthers +225
Atlanta Falcons +200
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +650

 

NFL Conference Division Odds: NFC West

Seattle Seahawks -275
Arizona Cardinals +650
St. Louis Rams +700
San Francisco 49ers +750

 

Green Bay Packers Projected Season Win Totals
Last season, the Green Bay Packers were chalked at 10.5-total wins for the season. A lofty mark the (then) three-time NFC North defending champions easily crossed with a 12-4-0 SU record that saw Over NFL bettors cash on their NFL picks. In fact, we predicted exactly that, a 12-4-0 season on our picks recommendations. 

In the pursuit of a fifth divisional title in a row, the Packers are chalked at 11 wins for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Once again, it's a high mark. But par for the course when a team is considered to be one of the stronger teams in the NFL. It's also worth noting that their rivals are all projected in the single digits and no higher than 8 wins (Detroit).

Table 3 below highlights the projected win totals for all the teams in the National Football Conference.

 

National Football Conference Projected Season Win Totals (Odds Courtesy of WestGate LV Sportsbook)

NFC East Odds: Projected Season Win Totals 

Dallas Cowboys 9.5
Philadelphia Eagles 9.5
NY Giants 8
Washington Redskins 6

 

NFC North Odds: Projected Season Win Totals 

Green Bay Packers 11
Detroit Lions 8.5
Minnesota Vikings 7
Chicago Bears 7

 

NFC South Odds: Projected Season Win Totals 

New Orleans Saints 9
Carolina Panthers 8.5
Atlanta Falcons 8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6

 

NFC West Odds: Projected Season Win Totals

Seattle Seahawks 11
Arizona Cardinals 8.5
St. Louis Rams 8
San Francisco 49ers 7.5

 

While football kickoff is a ways yet and a lot isn't known about each and every team –  how they'll stake up after it's known who's going to make the cut or who's coming and going through the trade windows... and so on – there's a lot of information at the ready to justify these NFL betting odds.

Obviously, last season's account provides one of the benchmarks. As do previous accounts in recent memory, which we've conveniently put together in Table 4 for your easy consideration.

 

NFC Season Win-Loss-Tie Record Last 5 Years

NFC EAST

2014-15 2013-14 2012-13 2011-12 2011-12

AVERAGE WIN TOTALS

 

Cowboys 12-4-0 8-8-0 8-8-0 8-8-0 6-10-0 8.4
Eagles 10-6-0 10-6-0 4-12-0 8-8-0 10-6-0 8.4
Giants 6-10-0 7-9-0 9-7-0 9-7-0 10-6-0 8.2
Redskins 4-12-0 3-13-0 10-6-0 5-11-0 6-10-0 5.6

NFC NORTH

 

           
Packers 12-4-0 8-7-1 11-5-0 15-1-0 10-6-0 11.2
Lions 11-5-0 7-9-0 4-12-0 10-6-0 6-10-0 7.6
Vikings 7-9-0 5-10-1 10-6-0 13-3-0 6-10-0 6.2
Bears 5-11-0 8-8-0 10-6-0 8-8-0 11-5-0 8.4

NFC SOUTH

 

           
Saints 7-9-0 11-5-0 7-9-0 13-3-0 11-5-0 9.8
Panthers 7-8-1 12-4-0 7-9-0 6-10-0 2-14-0 6.8
Falcons 6-10-0 4-12-0 13-3-0 10-6-0 13-3-0 9.2
Buccaneers 2-14-0 4-12-0 7-9-0 4-12-0 10-6-0 5.4

NFC WEST

 

           
Seahawks 12-4-0 13-3-0 11-5-0 7-9-0 7-9-0 10
Cardinals 11-5-0 10-6-0 5-11-0 8-8-0 5-11-0 7.8
Rams 6-10-0 7-9-0 7-8-1 2-14-0 7-9-0 5.8
49ers 8-8-0 12-4-0 11-4-0 13-3-0 6-10-0 10

 

Unlike the Seattle Seahawks that averaged 10 wins over the last five seasons, the Green Bay Packers actually did average over 11 wins, which underscores their projected total wins for the coming season nicely. As the table clearly indicates, the 2013-2014 season was their worst run of form in these five years. However, initiated NFL bettors know that it was mostly down to Rodgers' injury, which saw him miss a good portion of the season.

Still, even with that rather low 8-7-1 SU mark by their lofty standards, their season win average is the highest in the NFC  in recent memory. That bodes well for their projected season win totals for 2015-2016. In fact, if we were to take out the 2013-2014 season, the Packers emerge with a 12 win total average.

With recent trends supporting the idea that the Packers are a good bet to go Over the chalked line of 11, the only thing to consider right now (ever so briefly) is the NFL schedule.

On that front, it looks promising as well. While the start to the season looks ominous with the best from the NFC West slated in quick succession (Seattle  in week 2, followed by Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers), and dates with the San Diego Chargers and Denver Broncos bookending their Bye Week 7, the rest looks manageable. Strength of schedule based on last season's winning percentages of each team gives the Packers the 14th toughest schedule in the NFL with a winning percentage of 0.529.

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