The Green Bay Packers Win Totals are up on the NFL odds board and they're in double-digit range. Will the Packers deliver on these high expectations? We weigh in the win totals and the early NFL futures odds.
Green Bay Packers Second Faves Overall
The Green Bay Packers have emerged as the second overall favorites in Super Bowl 50 betting markets, priced at +650 to win outright (Table 1). They are also tipped for 11 wins on the season (Table 3), just as the top NFC faves Seattle Seahawks.
The NFL 2015-2016 season may be four months away, but NFL bettors and pundits alike are keen start speculating. So where do the Packers fall in the minds of NFL bettors?
Nobody that followed the Green Bay Packers last season can be surprised about their market evaluation for the coming season. They had a standout regular season and Aaron Rodgers delivered a heroic run in the NFL playoffs. Arguably, the most memorable account was the NFC Championship game that they very nearly won to reach Super Bowl 49, only for the Seahawks to rally in the dying minutes and snatch the victory away from them.
That the Packers edge the Patriots on the NFL odds board though is by principle mainly. A recent development after the long-awaited Ted Wells report was released, in which the finger points almost singularly in Tom Brady's direction for the Deflategate Scandal that rocked the NFL playoffs last season. Roger Goodell delivered his judgement this week, suspending Tom Brady for 4 games - maybe less if he wins an appeal.
|Green Bay Packers||+650|
|New England Patriots||+800|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+2800|
|New York Giants||+3000|
|San Diego Chargers||+3300|
|New Orleans Saints||+4000|
|St. Louis Rams||+4000|
|San Francisco 49ers||+4000|
|New York Jets||+6600|
2014-2015 In Review
The Green Bay Packers clinched the NFC North behind a 12-4-0 SU mark, which included a formidable 8-0 SU record at home. On the road, they were simply modest with a 4-4 SU record. That said, they did their part where it counted most by going 5-1 SU in their division and 9-3 SU in their Conference.
Last year, the Packers entered the season as one of several contenders but not as high as they are currently being assessed. Tale told, they were minutes away from reaching the Super Bowl, only to drop the ball and allow Seattle Seahawks to mastermind the improbable comeback and win the game. The most impressive aspect about their run was the fact that Aaron Rodgers wasn't 100% fit, yet they still got to within a win of the ultimate game in the NFL.
Predictably, the Packers enter as the team to beat in the NFC North on -275 NFL odds. The Detroit Lions were the only side that managed to give them a run for their money down the stretch, but they are currently trading at +450 NFL odds. The Vikings showed a lot of promise behind Teddy Bridgewater while the Chicago Bears are in full revamp mode after their miserable season.
Conference Division Odds:
|Green Bay Packers||-275|
|New Orleans Saints||+200|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+650|
|St. Louis Rams||+700|
|San Francisco 49ers||+750|
Green Bay Packers Projected Season Win Totals
Last season, the Green Bay Packers were chalked at 10.5-total wins for the season. A lofty mark the (then) three-time NFC North defending champions easily crossed with a 12-4-0 SU record that saw Over NFL bettors cash on their NFL picks. In fact, we predicted exactly that, a 12-4-0 season on our picks recommendations.
In the pursuit of a fifth divisional title in a row, the Packers are chalked at 11 wins for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Once again, it's a high mark. But par for the course when a team is considered to be one of the stronger teams in the NFL. It's also worth noting that their rivals are all projected in the single digits and no higher than 8 wins (Detroit).
Table 3 below highlights the projected win totals for all the teams in the National Football Conference.
National Football Conference Projected Season Win Totals (Odds Courtesy of WestGate LV Sportsbook)
|Green Bay Packers||11|
|New Orleans Saints||9|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||6|
|St. Louis Rams||8|
|San Francisco 49ers||7.5|
While football kickoff is a ways yet and a lot isn't known about each and every team – how they'll stake up after it's known who's going to make the cut or who's coming and going through the trade windows... and so on – there's a lot of information at the ready to justify these NFL betting odds.
Obviously, last season's account provides one of the benchmarks. As do previous accounts in recent memory, which we've conveniently put together in Table 4 for your easy consideration.
AVERAGE WIN TOTALS
Unlike the Seattle Seahawks that averaged 10 wins over the last five seasons, the Green Bay Packers actually did average over 11 wins, which underscores their projected total wins for the coming season nicely. As the table clearly indicates, the 2013-2014 season was their worst run of form in these five years. However, initiated NFL bettors know that it was mostly down to Rodgers' injury, which saw him miss a good portion of the season.
Still, even with that rather low 8-7-1 SU mark by their lofty standards, their season win average is the highest in the NFC in recent memory. That bodes well for their projected season win totals for 2015-2016. In fact, if we were to take out the 2013-2014 season, the Packers emerge with a 12 win total average.
With recent trends supporting the idea that the Packers are a good bet to go Over the chalked line of 11, the only thing to consider right now (ever so briefly) is the NFL schedule.
On that front, it looks promising as well. While the start to the season looks ominous with the best from the NFC West slated in quick succession (Seattle in week 2, followed by Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers), and dates with the San Diego Chargers and Denver Broncos bookending their Bye Week 7, the rest looks manageable. Strength of schedule based on last season's winning percentages of each team gives the Packers the 14th toughest schedule in the NFL with a winning percentage of 0.529.