Green Bay Packers divisional future odds update
The Packers may be best of all the undervalued teams in the offseason NFL Odds, but will that translate into them being a good future odds bet for 2013? Green Bay is the favorite to win the NFC North from LVH Sportsbook in Las Vegas this season at -160.
Throughout the spring I have been preaching to stay away from the chalk. However at this point in the offseason, the only real foe I see to the Packers this season is the Vikings, much like last season. There is no doubt in my mind or anyone else’s that the Packers should be the favorites to win this division. However it is a bit curious that they are only -160 in this position. They were -280 favorites last season but the Bears and Vikings were both right on their heels by the end of the season, and they were at +575 and +3500 respectfully. After sweating out the Vikings almost cashing in as NFC North champs last season, the books are taking no chances, but have they lowered the chalk on Green Bay too much? I think they have, and I’m seeing some value in the Packers.
5/8 is not bad for a bet like this, and if you have read my Super Bowl and NFC conference article on the Packers, you’ll know I think they are undervalued there as well. I am a bit concerned of course about injury and the Vikings a bit, but the Packers should be a little higher than -160 to win this division.
There could also be some value in the Packers’ game odds this season. Last year the Packers were 9-7 ATS in the regular season, and most of their value came from being at home, where they finished the season 6-3 ATS including the postseason. They were also extremely good against their own division, going 6-1 ATS against the NFC North, also including the playoffs. This is yet another reason to believe the Packers are a good bet.
At 12/1 in some instances, the Packers might even be a better bet to win the Super Bowl this season, let alone winning their division. However I would not be opposed to any Packers bet in the future odds this season.
With how well they drafted this offseason, combined with the fact that they have the best quarterback in the NFL, the Packers are not going to miss many beats in 2013. The loss of Greg Jennings hurts a little bit, but the Packers have an immense amount of depth at the WR position, and were in no position to pay him what he got from the Vikings. All in all, the Packers’ only real competition for the NFC crown this season seems to be on the west coast or down south, and Green Bay has shown the ability to beat all of them expect San Francisco last season in the playoffs. I like what they have done, and I think a return to one of the title games is probable for the Packers and our NFL picks.