NFL Picks: Giants vs. Redskins Opening Odds Report

Jason Lake

Tuesday, November 26, 2013 2:58 PM GMT

This looks like the end of NFC West road for both New York and Washington after disheartening losses in Week 12. The NFL lines say Washington will survive their Week 13 matchup.

Jason’s record on his final NFL picks for 2013, up to November 25 inclusive:

28-25-2 ATS

1-1 ML (+0.71 units)

5-10-1 Totals

It’s not quite time to throw in the towel just yet. We’re talking about the NFC East here, and both New York (4-7 SU and ATS) and Washington (3-8 SU and ATS) are still in the playoff hunt. But it’s going to take a football miracle to get Washington into the playoffs, after that ugly 27-6 loss to the San Francisco 49ers (–5.5 away) on Monday Night Football. New York’s task is merely monumental following Sunday’s crushing 24-21 loss to the Dallas Cowboys (+2.5 away).

The very early Week 13 NFL betting lines have Washington favored by 1.5 points when these two teams meet on Sunday (8:30 p.m. ET, NBC) at FedExField. The league decided not to use its flex scheduling to present us a less cringe-worthy episode of Sunday Night Football, but these are two large-market teams with deep traditions and national followings, so why bother. Let the train wreck commence.

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Pancake Monday

After Washington’s brutal display this past Monday, I’ll need a very good reason not to fade these guys. I didn’t pick them against San Francisco, but I figured they’d run the ball well enough to get the OVER to the pay window on the 46.5-point total. Instead, RB Alfred Morris, RB Roy Helu and QB Robert Griffin III barely hit the ton at 100 yards rushing on 27 carries. Phooey.

I’m surprised Griffin was even able to walk off the field. He was sacked four times and flattened like a pancake more than once, throwing for just 127 yards with a pick in what few people would argue was his worst game of the season. It’s still Monday night as I write this, but I’ll be very interested to see what kind of response we get from the dressing room and talk radio and all that. The more negative, the more I’ll want to fade Washington.

Big Blues

The Giants looked more like playoff contenders than NFC East chumps in Week 12. But they were still behind the 8-ball for most of their game against the Cowboys. Up 21-13 in the fourth quarter, Dallas handed the G-Men their best field position of the day with a penalty on a punt return, and they duly drove 58 yards for the game-tying TD and 2-point conversion. The Cowboys ended the party with a late field goal.

Adding injury to insult, the Giants lost center Jim Cordle with a partially torn left knee. Cordle is due to be re-evaluated on Thursday and, in theory, could suit up on Sunday. But it’s unlikely, and it’s a big blow for an offensive line that was already ranked No. 30 in run protection and No. 24 in pass protection at Football Outsiders.

Reed Option

If there’s one thing for Washington supporters to look forward to this week, it’s the return of TE Jordan Reed, who missed Week 12 with a concussion. Reed is second on the team with 45 receptions and tied for first with three TD catches, supplanting Fred Davis in the starting lineup. Davis wasn’t targeted even once in his return against the 49ers.

Heading into Week 12, New York was No. 27 (No. 27 offense, No. 9 defense, No. 31 special teams) on the efficiency charts, two spots ahead of Washington (No. 16 offense, No. 27 defense, No. 32 special teams). Let’s see if that gap widens when the numbers are updated. I don’t think it’s going to look good for the home team in Sunday’s matchup.

NFL Pick: Take the Giants +1.5 at JustBet