NFL Picks: Giants vs. Bears Thursday Night Opening Odds

Doug Upstone

Monday, October 7, 2013 6:36 PM GMT

We take an early look at the betting odds for Thursday night's battle between the New York Giants and the Chicago Bears. How should we let the early NFL odds effect our NFL picks?

In Tom Coughlin’s professional coaching career, he’s never been 0-5, even in his first year with the Jacksonville Jaguars as a new franchise. Yet, he and the Giants have the same record as the Jaguars at 0-5 and have to travel on short week to face a Chicago team not happy with consecutive losses. Sometimes, life is not fair.

This Thursday night NFC clash had the Bears favored by seven with a total of 46. Within the hour of its release, sportsbooks had Chicago up to an eight-point favorite.

[gameodds]16/226945/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

 

The Series History

These longstanding NFL franchises will meet for the ninth time in the past 21 years. New York is 5-3 with a 4-3-1 ATS record. Their meeting in 2010 had the Giants winning at home 17-3, which was noteworthy since the visitor had been 7-0 SU (6-0-1 ATS).

Examining the Line Makers Releases 

How bad is the situation surrounding the Giants? Even the usually punishing New York media in many of its early stories of New York’s 36-21 loss to Philadelphia were talking about a few of the silver linings, like the improved play of receiver Rueben Randall and Jason Pierre-Paul returning to form with a more explosive burst. 

There is no sugar-coating just how horrific New York actually is, with their uniform and helmet making a potential scary Halloween costume in the Big Apple. 

Big Blue is -100 in points scored/points allowed, which is only a dozen digits better than aforementioned Jaguars. 

Eli Manning is having opposing players in his face faster than a TMZ reporter hanging around at airports for the arrival of celebs. The offensive line is among the worst in the league and the injury-plagued secondary makes the Giants an easy target for those making sports picks. New York deserves to be at least a touchdown underdog and probably more. 

 

Chicago has dropped its past two contests because the pass defense is beatable. The Bears came into their matchup with New Orleans ranked 23rd against the pass and it did not figure to improve against Drew Brees and his arsenal of pass catchers. 

While Chicago has still forced turnovers at a rapid rate, their defensive line is not what it used to be because of injury and transition. This will be less a problem against New York, especially if Lance Briggs and his teammates can discombobulate Giants from the get-go.

Giants vs. Bears: Which side of the spread are you on?

Are the Giants a Good or Bad Bet?

At 0-5 against the spread and being outscored by 20 points game, any NFL football handicappers are going to find it hard to make a case for backing New York, even in the best ugliest underdog scenario. 

With no threat of a running game, opposing teams just rush up the field without fear and the secondary can play more press coverage or at least tighten their zones because they know Manning has get rid of the ball quick and likely under duress. 

It would seem the Giants best bet to cover the NFL odds or pull off the upset would be to hit big plays to grab a 10 or 14 point lead and hope Jay Cutler puts the ball up for grabs and they can create a few turnovers. 

Are the Bears a Good or Bad Bet? 

Similar to New York, Chicago would be best served with a super aggressive start and try to bury Coughlin’s crew early since one would not expect them to put up a real tussle on the road in falling behind early.

Cutler could have a prolific throwing night with his collection of massive receivers, Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffries and Martellus Bennett against n overmatched Giants secondary. 

The only real concern is the slow starts Chicago has gotten off to in trailing at the half in three of their five outings. Is it the Bears are just nothing more than a .500 team or is head coach Marc Trestman’s low key approach not having the troops ready from the start? 

Check back with me later this week when I will have NFL Picks on the side and total for this Thursday throw down right here at SBR Forum.